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Rates in Fredericton

Current Mortgage Rates in Fredericton

As of Friday, December 13, 2024, current interest rates in Fredericton are for a 5-year fixed mortgage and for a 3-year fixed mortgage. Shop around for mortgage rates to find the best offer.

High interest rates continue to make it challenging to qualify for a mortgage, making it harder for Fredericton residents to afford a home. While it’s almost impossible to predict when rates will come down meaningfully, experts forecast that we should expect a gradual reduction over the next few years. Home prices remain high, with CREA reporting that the national average home price decreased 2.7% year-over-year to $707,700 in October 2024.

Fredericton Mortgage Rate Trends: December 2024

While it’s difficult to predict where mortgage rates will trend, the consensus among experts suggests that we could see rates remain higher for longer. Forecasts suggest we won’t see interest rates return to the neutral rate range of 2 to 3% until the end of 2025.

Bank of Canada Rate Announcement

The latest Bank of Canada (BoC) announcement on December 11th was a policy interest rate decrease to . The BoC cited supporting economic growth and maintaining inflation around 2% as reasons the Governing Council lowered the policy rate by a further 50 basis points.

While inflation has eased, the growth in shelter costs, particularly rent and mortgage interest costs, is currently the most significant contributor to total inflation. The Governing Council continues to monitor core inflation numbers when assessing policy rate decisions to ensure sustained downward momentum in inflation.

The next announcement will be on January 29th. Using nesto’s proprietary overnight index swap and forward rate calculation data, bond markets are currently pricing in the probability of further rate cuts. However, without further sustained reductions to core inflation, the Bank may leave the key rate unchanged.

Real Estate Market Update

On November 15th, the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) released its October home sales data. The data showed that home sales increased 7.7% between September and October, reaching their highest level since April 2022.

October’s home sales activity reported that new listings declined 3.5% month-over-month. However, new supply remains at some of the highest levels since mid-2022.

October sales suggest buyers have re-entered the market, but the increase in sales is more likely related to the surge in new listings from September rather than the decrease in interest rates.

CPI Inflation Update

Statistics Canada’s latest inflation data, released on November 19th, showed the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.0% year-over-year in October, up from 1.6% in September. This month’s increase is attributed to gasoline prices falling to a lesser extent in October (-4.0%) than in September (-10.7%).

Shelter prices continued to be a more significant driver of inflation in October, up 4.8%, down from the 5.0% recorded in September. Higher interest rates are impacting Canadians’ spending patterns, as they are now spending less on discretionary items and delaying big-ticket purchases.

Mortgage Statistics for New Brunswick

Home prices in New Brunswick remain well below the national average. However, home prices have nearly doubled in the province in the last 10 years. Here are some mortgage statistics for the housing market in the province: 

• Average home value (as of October 2024): $304,400 (CREA)
• Canadian homeownership rate (as of 2021): 66.5% (StatsCan)
• Number of home sales (as of October 2024): 978 (NBREA)
• Number of new listings (as of October 2024): 1,652 (NBREA)

Mortgage Options in Fredericton

Fredericton conventional mortgage: Conventional or uninsured mortgages require a 20% or more downpayment. Mortgage default insurance is not required, as the equity from your downpayment amount is enough to protect the lender. There is no maximum limit on the purchase price of a home, allowing you to purchase homes valued at $1 million or more. With conventional mortgages, you can extend the amortization to 30 years with prime lending.    

Fredericton high-ratio mortgage: High-ratio or insured mortgages allow you to purchase a home with less than 20% as a downpayment. Mortgage default insurance is required to reduce the lender’s risk if you default on the mortgage. Borrowers are limited to a purchase price of less than $1 million and an amortization of 25 years with insured mortgages. 

Fredericton fixed-rate mortgage: Fixed-rate mortgages lock in your interest rate for the term. This provides stable and predictable mortgage payments with a set principal and interest amount paid throughout the term. Penalties on fixed-rate mortgages are calculated based on the higher of the interest rate differential (IRD) or 3 months’ interest. 

Fredericton variable-rate mortgage: Variable-rate mortgages have interest rates that fluctuate based on changes to the Bank of Canada policy rate. Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) are variable mortgages that immediately adjust your mortgage payment to reflect your lenders’ prime rate. The principal portion remains fixed, while the interest can increase or decrease based on changes to the prime rate. Variable-rate mortgages (VRM) are variable mortgages that have fixed mortgage payments despite changes to your lenders’ prime rate. The principal and interest proportions will adjust with more going to interest and less to principal if the prime rate increases or more going to principal and less to interest if the prime rate decreases. 

What Affects My Mortgage Rate in Fredericton

Mortgage rates are determined based on the risks associated with the mortgage, the property used as collateral, and the borrower. The specific interest rate you are offered will be based on various personal factors like your credit score, income, capital, downpayment, loan purpose, and loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Some of the most important determining factors affecting your mortgage rate include:

• Downpayment – Your downpayment determines your LTV ratio and whether you will be required to purchase mortgage default insurance. Insured and insurable mortgages have better rates as there is lower risk to the lender. These rates apply to properties valued at less than $1 million with amortizations up to 25 years. 
• Amortization Period – With prime lending, the amortization period cannot exceed 30 years on uninsured mortgages with a downpayment of 20% or more. Uninsured mortgages typically have higher interest rates to account for the added risk to the lender. On mortgages with less than a 20% downpayment, the maximum allowable amortization is 25 years. 
• Property Usage – Your primary residence, known as owner-occupied, generally has lower interest rates. Investment properties you intend to rent will typically have higher interest rates. Purchasing a primary residence with a second separate legally registered suite is considered an owner-occupied rental and will have access to the same rates as a primary residence. 
• Mortgage Type – The type of mortgage will affect your mortgage rate. Open mortgages have higher rates due to their flexibility. Refinances have higher rates than renewals and new mortgages. 
• Your Credit Score – Your credit score will determine the type of lender that approves you for a mortgage. If you have good to excellent credit, you can typically use prime lending and benefit from the best rates. If you have poor credit, you may need to look at alternative lending solutions with higher rates to offset the lender’s risks. 

First-Time Home Buyer Programs in New Brunswick

• Home Ownership Program – provides financial assistance to low and modest income families to help them buy or build a first home. Assistance is provided in the form of a repayable loan, the amount of which is determined based on whether the home is existing or being built. 
• First-Time Homebuyers Tax Credit (HBTC) – a federal government program that allows first-time buyers to claim up to $10,000 for a maximum $1,500 tax credit to help offset closing costs. 

Land Transfer Tax in New Brunswick

New Brunswick has a Real Property Transfer Tax of 1% on the greater of the consideration for the transfer or the assessed value of the property.

How to Find the Best Mortgage Rate in Fredericton

• Step 1: Understand your credit score:  Before looking for a mortgage lender or applying for a mortgage, check your credit score regularly. This will help you immediately report and remedy errors that could negatively affect your score. If necessary, improve your credit score to help with your mortgage approval.
• Step 2: Determine your borrowing capacity: To find the right mortgage solution, you’ll need to know how much house you can afford based on your income and downpayment. 
• Step 3: Know your mortgage needs: Analyze different mortgage solutions’ features, risks, and costs. Careful research and comparisons of the available options can help you choose a mortgage that best meets your immediate and long-term financial needs.
• Step 4: Find a suitable mortgage strategy: Get expert guidance to choose the best strategy for your homeownership goals. Your mortgage strategy shouldn’t just be based on the lowest rate.
• Step 5: Compare rates and terms: Not all mortgages are equal. Choosing a lender like nesto for your mortgage can help you compare rates and terms for multiple lending solutions, ensuring you find the best fit. 
• Step 6: Get prequalified for a mortgage: Begin your journey towards homeownership by taking advantage of nesto’s prequalification process. By analyzing your downpayment and financial stability, nesto will provide you with a comprehensive prequalification outlining the maximum mortgage amount you can qualify for. This information is crucial as it helps you set realistic expectations and narrow your search for a suitable home within your budget.