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Canadian Housing Market Outlook 2026

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All nesto content is reviewed by licensed, commission-free mortgage experts certified in multiple provinces. They evaluate articles for factual accuracy, current rate data, and regulatory compliance before publication.

Canadian Home Sales Hold Flat as Economic Headwinds Build

According to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) for August 2026, national home sales slipped 0.7% from July on a seasonally adjusted basis, leaving monthly activity essentially where it has sat since May. Actual unadjusted transactions totalled 37,504, down 6.9% from August 2025. The steadier story is price: the composite benchmark was unchanged from July, the longest stretch of month-to-month stability since 2024.

  • The composite MLS HPI benchmark stood at $657,500, down 3.0% year-over-year. That is the smallest annual decline since October 2025, and it continues a shrinking trend that began in January.
  • New listings rebounded 3.3% month-over-month after three consecutive declines, pushing the sales-to-new-listings ratio down to 49.1% from 51.1% in July. Inventory held at 4.8 months for a fourth straight month, just under the five-month long-run average.
  • By property type, condos absorbed the most pressure. The apartment benchmark fell 4.8% year-over-year to $459,800, and townhouses dropped 4.3% to $593,800, while single-family homes held up better at $731,200, down 2.9%.

The divergence worth watching is between prices and borrowing costs. Benchmark values have been flat for four months, but CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart pointed to a changed backdrop, with the Bank of Canada warning of rising inflation risks, fixed rates already climbing on higher bond yields, and a policy rate hiking cycle now priced in by markets. Stable home prices alongside rising mortgage rates means monthly carrying costs can increase even when the purchase price does not.

If you are weighing a purchase into the fall, the rate side of the equation is moving faster than the price side right now. Start by comparing current mortgage rates, then connect with our nesto mortgage experts to see what a rate hold is worth in a market where prices are flat but borrowing costs are not.

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Canadian Housing Market Highlights

  • The average selling price of a home in Canada decreased by 3.08% year-over-year to $657,500 in August 2026.
  • The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada decreased by 2.90% year-over-year to $731,200 in August 2026.
  • The average selling price of a townhouse/multiplex in Canada decreased by 4.24% year-over-year to $593,800 in August 2026.
  • The average selling price of a condo in Canada decreased by 4.86% year-over-year to $459,800 in August 2026.
  • The average rent in Canada decreased by 4.77% year-over-year to $2,035 for August 2026.
  • September 30, 2026: Today’s lowest mortgage rate in Canada is 4.59% for a 5-year fixed.

Data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) indicates that the benchmark price of resale residential homes sold across Canada in August 2026 was $657,500, and it decreased by 3.08% compared to a year ago.

CREA also reported a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 49.1%, indicating balanced market market conditions nationally for August 2026.

CanadaComposite Price August 2026Composite Price July 2026YoY Change (%)MoM Change (%)
Single Family Home$731,200$737,000decreased by 2.90%decreased by 0.79%
Townhouse/Multiplex$593,800$596,000decreased by 4.24%decreased by 0.37%
Condo / Apartments$459,800$461,500decreased by 4.86%decreased by 0.37%
Composite$657,500$661,800decreased by 3.08%decreased by 0.65%
Rent$2,035$2,037decreased by 4.77%decreased by 0.10%

Canadian Home Price Changes Over The Last Decade

Composite Home Prices

The average selling price of a home in Canada was $657,500 for the month of August 2026; that’s decreased by 0.65% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, Canadian home prices have decreased by 3.08%.

National Composite Home Price

Monthly changes to Canada’s composite home price over the last 10 years.

Single-family Home Prices

The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada was $731,200 for the month of August 2026; that’s decreased by 0.79% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, single-family home prices in Canada have decreased by 2.90%.

National Single-Family Home Price

Monthly changes to Canada’s single-family home price over the last 10 years.

Townhouse and Multiplex Prices

The average selling price of a townhouse in Canada was $593,800 for the month of August 2026; that’s decreased by 0.37% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a townhouse in Canada has decreased by 4.24%.

National Townhouse & Multiplex Home Price

Monthly changes to Canada’s townhouse and multiplex home prices over the last 10 years.

Condo Prices

The average selling price of a condo in Canada was $459,800 for the month of August 2026; that’s decreased by 0.37% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a condo in Canada has decreased by 4.86%.

National Condo Price

Monthly changes to Canada’s condominium apartment home prices over the last 10 years.

Canadian Housing Market Conditions

Number of Sales Transactions

The number of sales in Canada was 37,738 during August 2026, that’s decreased by 1.01% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, sales in Canada have decreased by 7.05%.

Home Sales

Canada’s home sale transactions over the past 12 months.

New Listings

The number of new listings in Canada was 76,813 during August 2026, that’s increased by 3.36% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, new listings in Canada have decreased by 3.41%.

New Listings

Canada’s new listings over the past 12 months.

Sales-to-New-Listings Ratio (SNLR)

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) in Canada was 49.1% during August 2026, indicating a balanced market. On a monthly basis, that’s decreased by 4.29% month-over-month. Canada’s yearly sales-to-new-listings ratio has decreased by 3.91%.

SNLR

Monthly change in Canada’s sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) over the past 12 months.

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) measures the number of home sales compared to new listings. An SNLR below 40% indicates a buyer’s market, where buyers hold the upper hand and greater negotiating power. An SNLR between 40% and 60% is a balanced market, while an SNLR of over 60% is considered a seller’s market. 

Market Conditions

Sep 2025 balanced market
Oct 2025 balanced market
Nov 2025 balanced market
Dec 2025 balanced market
Jan 2026 balanced market
Feb 2026 balanced market
Mar 2026 balanced market
Apr 2026 balanced market
May 2026 balanced market
Jun 2026 balanced market
Jul 2026 balanced market
Aug 2026 balanced market

SNLR — last 12 months

Monthly change in Canada’s market conditions over the past 12 months.

National Composite Home Price

Monthly changes to Canada’s composite home price over the last 12 months.

Provincial Composite Home Prices

ProvinceComposite Price August 2026Composite Price August 2025YoY Change (%)Composite Price July 2026MoM Change (%)
British Columbia$874,600$919,100decreased by 4.84%$881,500decreased by 0.78%
Alberta$511,500$515,800decreased by 0.83%$513,800decreased by 0.45%
Saskatchewan$381,600$369,600increased by 3.25%$383,500decreased by 0.50%
Manitoba$399,965$395,913increased by 1.02%$392,900increased by 1.80%
Ontario$745,400$772,800decreased by 3.55%$749,800decreased by 0.59%
Quebec$540,800$524,300increased by 3.15%$546,600decreased by 1.06%
New Brunswick$342,400$323,200increased by 5.94%$344,000decreased by 0.47%
Nova Scotia$435,000$428,200increased by 1.59%$429,100increased by 1.37%
Prince Edward Island$372,800$377,800decreased by 1.32%$389,900decreased by 4.39%
Newfoundland and Labrador$358,400$335,700increased by 6.76%$359,300decreased by 0.25%

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Canadian Asking Rents Fall Nearly 5% Year Over Year

According to the National Rent Report for September 2026, which carries August 2026 data, the average asking rent across all property types in Canada was $2,035, down 4.8% from a year earlier. One-bedroom units averaged $1,753, and 2-bedroom units averaged $2,146. The annual decline now spans six of the seven reporting provinces.

  • Ontario and BC led the declines at 4.8% and 4.7% year-over-year, respectively, followed by Alberta at 3.6%. Quebec eased 1.8%, Saskatchewan 0.5%, and Manitoba 0.3%, while Atlantic Canada was the lone gainer, up 5.7%.
  • BC remains the most expensive province at $2,387 across all property types, ahead of Atlantic Canada at $2,274 and Ontario at $2,256. Saskatchewan is the most affordable at $1,461, with Manitoba at $1,643.
  • Among the six largest markets, monthly rents rose in four. Ottawa led at 1.1% and Vancouver at 1.0% for purpose-built and condo apartments, with Montreal up 0.8%, while Toronto and Calgary each slipped 0.3%.

When you look at the annualised data, the ranking inverts. Calgary posted the steepest drop among major markets at 4.5%, with Vancouver and Edmonton both down 4.1%, while Montreal proved most resilient at 1.1%, ahead of Toronto at 1.4% and Ottawa at 1.6%. Toronto also ran against the national trend in larger units, where 3-bedroom rents rose 3.5% year over year to $3,642.

Falling rents change the rent-versus-own calculation in a market where home prices are flat and mortgage rates are rising. Compare current mortgage rates and speak with our nesto mortgage experts to run a side-by-side comparison with real numbers.

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Canada Market Rents Snapshot

The average rent in Canada was $2,035 for the month of August 2026, which decreased by 4.77% year-over-year.

The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Canada was $1,753 for the month of August 2026, which decreased by 5.14% year-over-year.

The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Canada was $2,146 for the month of August 2026, which decreased by 3.98% year-over-year.

Average Rents for Cities Across Canada

RankCityTotal Avg1 Bed2 Bed
1North Vancouver$3,036$2,501$3,434
2Vancouver$2,729$2,350$3,248
3Oakville$2,695$2,316$3,021
4Toronto$2,571$2,221$2,939
5Kanata$2,524$2,251$2,754
6Burnaby$2,520$2,119$2,724
7North York$2,519$2,085$2,690
8Coquitlam$2,510$2,087$2,709
9Etobicoke$2,441$2,081$2,653
10Vaughan$2,422$2,110$2,516
11Burlington$2,386$2,068$2,425
12Halifax$2,365$1,999$2,591
13Mississauga$2,346$2,042$2,443
14Barrie$2,332$2,103$2,472
15Langley$2,266$1,911$2,480
16Brampton$2,259$1,971$2,351
17Victoria$2,255$1,994$2,649
18Guelph$2,224$1,927$2,276
19New Westminster$2,203$1,901$2,655
20Kingston$2,200$1,933$2,353
21Ottawa$2,200$1,958$2,470
22Scarborough$2,187$1,835$2,319
23Surrey$2,185$1,796$2,250
24Ajax$2,182$1,890$2,241
25Waterloo$2,169$1,922$2,337
26Laval$2,130$1,726$2,352
27Nanaimo$2,078$1,844$2,251
28Kelowna$2,073$1,823$2,248
29East York$2,056$1,792$2,379
30Brossard$2,044$1,767$2,139
31Cambridge$2,027$1,834$2,174
32Oshawa$2,023$1,740$2,019
33Niagara Falls$1,978$1,659$1,958
34Airdrie$1,966$1,429$1,774
35Greater Sudbury$1,959$1,720$2,101
36Kamloops$1,957$1,750$2,026
37Montreal$1,957$1,742$2,259
38Kitchener$1,938$1,691$2,084
39Hamilton$1,921$1,653$2,135
40London$1,913$1,651$2,030
41Brantford$1,911$1,787$2,025
42Peterborough$1,892$1,680$1,918
43Calgary$1,885$1,508$1,845
44St. Catharines$1,810$1,530$1,921
45Gatineau$1,776$1,607$1,857
46Welland$1,754$1,505$1,978
47Côte Saint-Luc$1,710$1,405$1,966
48Windsor$1,670$1,475$1,906
49Winnipeg$1,646$1,426$1,754
50Edmonton$1,631$1,275$1,646
51Sarnia$1,607$1,438$1,674
52Quebec City$1,586$1,299$1,677
53Red Deer$1,573$1,345$1,515
54Lethbridge$1,545$1,334$1,572
55Saskatoon$1,517$1,295$1,531
56Regina$1,468$1,291$1,536
57Fort McMurray$1,378$1,163$1,382
58Medicine Hat$1,371$1,228$1,381
59Lloydminster$1,330$1,056$1,412
60St. John's$1,293$1,136$1,453
Average Rent by City
Source: Rentals.ca Network Data & Urbanation Inc.

Average Rent by Province

LOCATIONTotal1B2B
AB$1,776$1,405$1,747
BC$2,387$2,048$2,634
MB$1,643$1,419$1,742
ON$2,256$1,968$2,437
QC$1,931$1,690$2,149
SK$1,461$1,265$1,502
Atlantic Canada$2,274$1,909$2,434
Canada$2,035$1,753$2,146

Average Rent by Property Type Across Canada

TYPETotal1B2B
All$2,035$1,753$2,146
Apartment$2,038$1,799$2,232
Condominium$2,050$1,827$2,170
House/Townhouse$2,014$1,305$1,733

How Does Renting Compare With Homeownership Across Canada?

Each $100,000 in mortgage balance costs an average of $564 per month on nesto’s lowest fixed 5-year rate at 4.59%, and $506 per month on nesto’s lowest adjustable 5-year rate at 3.45%.

On the variable side, a 0.25% change in the Bank of Canada’s policy rate moves that payment by roughly $13.47 per $100,000 if rates rise, or $13.27 if they fall. Fixed payments aren’t affected the same way mid-term—a fixed rate is locked for the term and tracks bond yields, not the policy rate directly, so this sensitivity applies only to the variable side.

The interest rates used for the calculation are those offered on insured purchases with less than a 20% down payment, on a 25-year amortization, as of September 30, 2026 and are subject to change. Canada’s policy rate is 2.25%, and nesto’s prime rate is 4.45%.


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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) About the Canadian Housing Market in 2026

Are Canadian Housing Market Conditions Favouring Buyers or Sellers in 2026?

Canadian housing market conditions do not decisively favour either side in 2026, as the national market is balanced. The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) eased to 49.1% in August, and months of inventory fell to 4.8, both squarely within the range consistent with a balanced market. The regional paths differ. Sellers’ markets across the Prairies, Quebec and the East Coast have been cooling for a year, while the Lower Mainland and Ontario’s Greater Golden Horseshoe have moved back up out of buyer-favouring conditions. Saskatchewan, New Brunswick and Newfoundland and Labrador remain borderline sellers’ markets.

Are Home Prices in Canada Going Up or Down in 2026?

Home prices in Canada are moving in both directions in 2026, depending on which measure you use, and the difference matters. In July, the national average price was $674,819, up 0.2% from the previous year, while the MLS Home Price Index composite benchmark was $661,800, down 3.3%. The average price reflects what happened in sales that month, so it rises when more activity shifts to more expensive provinces. The benchmark controls for the mix of homes sold and tracks the value of a comparable property. CREA forecasts the national average price to finish 2026 about 1.1% higher, at roughly $686,710. If you are budgeting a purchase, the benchmark is the more reliable guide.

Is Canada Entering a Nationwide Housing Recovery in 2026?

Canada is not entering a nationwide housing recovery in 2026, and the improvement that does exist is not spread evenly. Seasonally adjusted national sales slipped 0.7% in August after four months of gains, and activity remained well below the 10-year average for the month. CREA expects full-year 2026 sales to fall 1.4% to 463,336 units, with Ontario the only province forecast to post an annual gain, and does not project a broad national increase until 2027. Annual price declines have narrowed each month since January, suggesting stabilization rather than recovery.

Why Are Condominium Prices Falling Faster Than Detached Homes in Canada?

Condominium prices are falling faster than detached homes because new supply is arriving in Canada just as demand for higher-density housing reverses. Several years of heavy condominium construction were completed as international migration slowed sharply, leaving an unsold overhang that has weighed on the segment. The August benchmarks clearly show the spread. Apartments benchmarked at $459,800 nationally, against $731,200 for single-family homes. Investors and first-time buyers, the two groups most concentrated in this segment, have stepped back simultaneously.

What Is Limiting Canadian Housing Demand in 2026?

Population growth is the primary factor limiting housing demand in Canada in 2026. Tighter immigration rules have pulled household formation below what the market was built to absorb, and Ontario’s population growth turned negative in the second quarter, running 0.9% below year-earlier levels after reaching 3.6% two years ago. Qualification is the second constraint. The mortgage stress test still requires borrowers to qualify at a rate higher than the one they will actually pay, so income caps buying power even when prices have fallen. Borrowing costs are no longer the obstacle they were, because the Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since October.

Will Canadian Home Sales Increase in 2026 Without Further Interest Rate Cuts?

Canadian home sales are still expected to finish 2026 lower than 2025 without further interest rate cuts. Seasonally adjusted sales rose for four straight months before slipping 0.7% in August, while the Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since October. CREA forecasts 2026 sales to close 1.4% below 2025 before rising 3.7% in 2027 as pent-up demand returns. Stable rates have been enough to support a gradual improvement, but not enough to trigger a rebound.

Is It Cheaper to Rent or Buy in Canada in 2026?

Renting is still cheaper month-to-month than buying in most large Canadian markets in 2026. Average asking rents have now fallen year-over-year for an extended stretch, reaching $2,035 in August, down 4.8% from a year earlier. Home prices are also lower than a year ago on a benchmark basis, down 3.0% nationally, while the Bank of Canada’s policy rate has held at 2.25%. The option which costs less over time depends on how long it takes to save the down payment, how long you plan to stay, and your mortgage interest rate.


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About the contributors

Written by

Samson Solomon

Mortgage Content Expert

Samson is a Mortgage Content Expert at nesto with over 25 years of experience in retail banking, financial advising and…