Canadian Housing Market Outlook 2026
Canadian Home Sales Hold Flat as Economic Headwinds Build
According to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) for August 2026, national home sales slipped 0.7% from July on a seasonally adjusted basis, leaving monthly activity essentially where it has sat since May. Actual unadjusted transactions totalled 37,504, down 6.9% from August 2025. The steadier story is price: the composite benchmark was unchanged from July, the longest stretch of month-to-month stability since 2024.
- The composite MLS HPI benchmark stood at $657,500, down 3.0% year-over-year. That is the smallest annual decline since October 2025, and it continues a shrinking trend that began in January.
- New listings rebounded 3.3% month-over-month after three consecutive declines, pushing the sales-to-new-listings ratio down to 49.1% from 51.1% in July. Inventory held at 4.8 months for a fourth straight month, just under the five-month long-run average.
- By property type, condos absorbed the most pressure. The apartment benchmark fell 4.8% year-over-year to $459,800, and townhouses dropped 4.3% to $593,800, while single-family homes held up better at $731,200, down 2.9%.
The divergence worth watching is between prices and borrowing costs. Benchmark values have been flat for four months, but CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart pointed to a changed backdrop, with the Bank of Canada warning of rising inflation risks, fixed rates already climbing on higher bond yields, and a policy rate hiking cycle now priced in by markets. Stable home prices alongside rising mortgage rates means monthly carrying costs can increase even when the purchase price does not.
If you are weighing a purchase into the fall, the rate side of the equation is moving faster than the price side right now. Start by comparing current mortgage rates, then connect with our nesto mortgage experts to see what a rate hold is worth in a market where prices are flat but borrowing costs are not.
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Canadian Housing Market Highlights
- The average selling price of a home in Canada decreased by 3.08% year-over-year to $657,500 in August 2026.
- The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada decreased by 2.90% year-over-year to $731,200 in August 2026.
- The average selling price of a townhouse/multiplex in Canada decreased by 4.24% year-over-year to $593,800 in August 2026.
- The average selling price of a condo in Canada decreased by 4.86% year-over-year to $459,800 in August 2026.
- The average rent in Canada decreased by 4.77% year-over-year to $2,035 for August 2026.
- September 30, 2026: Today’s lowest mortgage rate in Canada is 4.59% for a 5-year fixed.
Data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) indicates that the benchmark price of resale residential homes sold across Canada in August 2026 was $657,500, and it decreased by 3.08% compared to a year ago.
CREA also reported a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 49.1%, indicating balanced market market conditions nationally for August 2026.
| Canada | Composite Price August 2026 | Composite Price July 2026 | YoY Change (%) | MoM Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Family Home | $731,200 | $737,000 | decreased by 2.90% | decreased by 0.79% |
| Townhouse/Multiplex | $593,800 | $596,000 | decreased by 4.24% | decreased by 0.37% |
| Condo / Apartments | $459,800 | $461,500 | decreased by 4.86% | decreased by 0.37% |
| Composite | $657,500 | $661,800 | decreased by 3.08% | decreased by 0.65% |
| Rent | $2,035 | $2,037 | decreased by 4.77% | decreased by 0.10% |
Canadian Home Price Changes Over The Last Decade
Composite Home Prices
The average selling price of a home in Canada was $657,500 for the month of August 2026; that’s decreased by 0.65% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, Canadian home prices have decreased by 3.08%.
National Composite Home Price
Monthly changes to Canada’s composite home price over the last 10 years.
Single-family Home Prices
The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada was $731,200 for the month of August 2026; that’s decreased by 0.79% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, single-family home prices in Canada have decreased by 2.90%.
National Single-Family Home Price
Monthly changes to Canada’s single-family home price over the last 10 years.
Townhouse and Multiplex Prices
The average selling price of a townhouse in Canada was $593,800 for the month of August 2026; that’s decreased by 0.37% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a townhouse in Canada has decreased by 4.24%.
National Townhouse & Multiplex Home Price
Monthly changes to Canada’s townhouse and multiplex home prices over the last 10 years.
Condo Prices
The average selling price of a condo in Canada was $459,800 for the month of August 2026; that’s decreased by 0.37% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a condo in Canada has decreased by 4.86%.
National Condo Price
Monthly changes to Canada’s condominium apartment home prices over the last 10 years.
Canadian Housing Market Conditions
Number of Sales Transactions
The number of sales in Canada was 37,738 during August 2026, that’s decreased by 1.01% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, sales in Canada have decreased by 7.05%.
Home Sales
Canada’s home sale transactions over the past 12 months.
New Listings
The number of new listings in Canada was 76,813 during August 2026, that’s increased by 3.36% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, new listings in Canada have decreased by 3.41%.
New Listings
Canada’s new listings over the past 12 months.
Sales-to-New-Listings Ratio (SNLR)
The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) in Canada was 49.1% during August 2026, indicating a balanced market. On a monthly basis, that’s decreased by 4.29% month-over-month. Canada’s yearly sales-to-new-listings ratio has decreased by 3.91%.
SNLR
Monthly change in Canada’s sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) over the past 12 months.
The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) measures the number of home sales compared to new listings. An SNLR below 40% indicates a buyer’s market, where buyers hold the upper hand and greater negotiating power. An SNLR between 40% and 60% is a balanced market, while an SNLR of over 60% is considered a seller’s market.
Market Conditions
| Sep 2025 | balanced market |
| Oct 2025 | balanced market |
| Nov 2025 | balanced market |
| Dec 2025 | balanced market |
| Jan 2026 | balanced market |
| Feb 2026 | balanced market |
| Mar 2026 | balanced market |
| Apr 2026 | balanced market |
| May 2026 | balanced market |
| Jun 2026 | balanced market |
| Jul 2026 | balanced market |
| Aug 2026 | balanced market |
SNLR — last 12 months
Monthly change in Canada’s market conditions over the past 12 months.
National Composite Home Price
Monthly changes to Canada’s composite home price over the last 12 months.
Provincial Composite Home Prices
| Province | Composite Price August 2026 | Composite Price August 2025 | YoY Change (%) | Composite Price July 2026 | MoM Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| British Columbia | $874,600 | $919,100 | decreased by 4.84% | $881,500 | decreased by 0.78% |
| Alberta | $511,500 | $515,800 | decreased by 0.83% | $513,800 | decreased by 0.45% |
| Saskatchewan | $381,600 | $369,600 | increased by 3.25% | $383,500 | decreased by 0.50% |
| Manitoba | $399,965 | $395,913 | increased by 1.02% | $392,900 | increased by 1.80% |
| Ontario | $745,400 | $772,800 | decreased by 3.55% | $749,800 | decreased by 0.59% |
| Quebec | $540,800 | $524,300 | increased by 3.15% | $546,600 | decreased by 1.06% |
| New Brunswick | $342,400 | $323,200 | increased by 5.94% | $344,000 | decreased by 0.47% |
| Nova Scotia | $435,000 | $428,200 | increased by 1.59% | $429,100 | increased by 1.37% |
| Prince Edward Island | $372,800 | $377,800 | decreased by 1.32% | $389,900 | decreased by 4.39% |
| Newfoundland and Labrador | $358,400 | $335,700 | increased by 6.76% | $359,300 | decreased by 0.25% |
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Canadian Asking Rents Fall Nearly 5% Year Over Year
According to the National Rent Report for September 2026, which carries August 2026 data, the average asking rent across all property types in Canada was $2,035, down 4.8% from a year earlier. One-bedroom units averaged $1,753, and 2-bedroom units averaged $2,146. The annual decline now spans six of the seven reporting provinces.
- Ontario and BC led the declines at 4.8% and 4.7% year-over-year, respectively, followed by Alberta at 3.6%. Quebec eased 1.8%, Saskatchewan 0.5%, and Manitoba 0.3%, while Atlantic Canada was the lone gainer, up 5.7%.
- BC remains the most expensive province at $2,387 across all property types, ahead of Atlantic Canada at $2,274 and Ontario at $2,256. Saskatchewan is the most affordable at $1,461, with Manitoba at $1,643.
- Among the six largest markets, monthly rents rose in four. Ottawa led at 1.1% and Vancouver at 1.0% for purpose-built and condo apartments, with Montreal up 0.8%, while Toronto and Calgary each slipped 0.3%.
When you look at the annualised data, the ranking inverts. Calgary posted the steepest drop among major markets at 4.5%, with Vancouver and Edmonton both down 4.1%, while Montreal proved most resilient at 1.1%, ahead of Toronto at 1.4% and Ottawa at 1.6%. Toronto also ran against the national trend in larger units, where 3-bedroom rents rose 3.5% year over year to $3,642.
Falling rents change the rent-versus-own calculation in a market where home prices are flat and mortgage rates are rising. Compare current mortgage rates and speak with our nesto mortgage experts to run a side-by-side comparison with real numbers.
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Canada Market Rents Snapshot
The average rent in Canada was $2,035 for the month of August 2026, which decreased by 4.77% year-over-year.
The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Canada was $1,753 for the month of August 2026, which decreased by 5.14% year-over-year.
The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Canada was $2,146 for the month of August 2026, which decreased by 3.98% year-over-year.
Average Rents for Cities Across Canada
| Rank | City | Total Avg | 1 Bed | 2 Bed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Vancouver | $3,036 | $2,501 | $3,434 |
| 2 | Vancouver | $2,729 | $2,350 | $3,248 |
| 3 | Oakville | $2,695 | $2,316 | $3,021 |
| 4 | Toronto | $2,571 | $2,221 | $2,939 |
| 5 | Kanata | $2,524 | $2,251 | $2,754 |
| 6 | Burnaby | $2,520 | $2,119 | $2,724 |
| 7 | North York | $2,519 | $2,085 | $2,690 |
| 8 | Coquitlam | $2,510 | $2,087 | $2,709 |
| 9 | Etobicoke | $2,441 | $2,081 | $2,653 |
| 10 | Vaughan | $2,422 | $2,110 | $2,516 |
| 11 | Burlington | $2,386 | $2,068 | $2,425 |
| 12 | Halifax | $2,365 | $1,999 | $2,591 |
| 13 | Mississauga | $2,346 | $2,042 | $2,443 |
| 14 | Barrie | $2,332 | $2,103 | $2,472 |
| 15 | Langley | $2,266 | $1,911 | $2,480 |
| 16 | Brampton | $2,259 | $1,971 | $2,351 |
| 17 | Victoria | $2,255 | $1,994 | $2,649 |
| 18 | Guelph | $2,224 | $1,927 | $2,276 |
| 19 | New Westminster | $2,203 | $1,901 | $2,655 |
| 20 | Kingston | $2,200 | $1,933 | $2,353 |
| 21 | Ottawa | $2,200 | $1,958 | $2,470 |
| 22 | Scarborough | $2,187 | $1,835 | $2,319 |
| 23 | Surrey | $2,185 | $1,796 | $2,250 |
| 24 | Ajax | $2,182 | $1,890 | $2,241 |
| 25 | Waterloo | $2,169 | $1,922 | $2,337 |
| 26 | Laval | $2,130 | $1,726 | $2,352 |
| 27 | Nanaimo | $2,078 | $1,844 | $2,251 |
| 28 | Kelowna | $2,073 | $1,823 | $2,248 |
| 29 | East York | $2,056 | $1,792 | $2,379 |
| 30 | Brossard | $2,044 | $1,767 | $2,139 |
| 31 | Cambridge | $2,027 | $1,834 | $2,174 |
| 32 | Oshawa | $2,023 | $1,740 | $2,019 |
| 33 | Niagara Falls | $1,978 | $1,659 | $1,958 |
| 34 | Airdrie | $1,966 | $1,429 | $1,774 |
| 35 | Greater Sudbury | $1,959 | $1,720 | $2,101 |
| 36 | Kamloops | $1,957 | $1,750 | $2,026 |
| 37 | Montreal | $1,957 | $1,742 | $2,259 |
| 38 | Kitchener | $1,938 | $1,691 | $2,084 |
| 39 | Hamilton | $1,921 | $1,653 | $2,135 |
| 40 | London | $1,913 | $1,651 | $2,030 |
| 41 | Brantford | $1,911 | $1,787 | $2,025 |
| 42 | Peterborough | $1,892 | $1,680 | $1,918 |
| 43 | Calgary | $1,885 | $1,508 | $1,845 |
| 44 | St. Catharines | $1,810 | $1,530 | $1,921 |
| 45 | Gatineau | $1,776 | $1,607 | $1,857 |
| 46 | Welland | $1,754 | $1,505 | $1,978 |
| 47 | Côte Saint-Luc | $1,710 | $1,405 | $1,966 |
| 48 | Windsor | $1,670 | $1,475 | $1,906 |
| 49 | Winnipeg | $1,646 | $1,426 | $1,754 |
| 50 | Edmonton | $1,631 | $1,275 | $1,646 |
| 51 | Sarnia | $1,607 | $1,438 | $1,674 |
| 52 | Quebec City | $1,586 | $1,299 | $1,677 |
| 53 | Red Deer | $1,573 | $1,345 | $1,515 |
| 54 | Lethbridge | $1,545 | $1,334 | $1,572 |
| 55 | Saskatoon | $1,517 | $1,295 | $1,531 |
| 56 | Regina | $1,468 | $1,291 | $1,536 |
| 57 | Fort McMurray | $1,378 | $1,163 | $1,382 |
| 58 | Medicine Hat | $1,371 | $1,228 | $1,381 |
| 59 | Lloydminster | $1,330 | $1,056 | $1,412 |
| 60 | St. John's | $1,293 | $1,136 | $1,453 |
Source: Rentals.ca Network Data & Urbanation Inc.
Average Rent by Province
| LOCATION | Total | 1B | 2B |
|---|---|---|---|
| AB | $1,776 | $1,405 | $1,747 |
| BC | $2,387 | $2,048 | $2,634 |
| MB | $1,643 | $1,419 | $1,742 |
| ON | $2,256 | $1,968 | $2,437 |
| QC | $1,931 | $1,690 | $2,149 |
| SK | $1,461 | $1,265 | $1,502 |
| Atlantic Canada | $2,274 | $1,909 | $2,434 |
| Canada | $2,035 | $1,753 | $2,146 |
Average Rent by Property Type Across Canada
| TYPE | Total | 1B | 2B |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | $2,035 | $1,753 | $2,146 |
| Apartment | $2,038 | $1,799 | $2,232 |
| Condominium | $2,050 | $1,827 | $2,170 |
| House/Townhouse | $2,014 | $1,305 | $1,733 |
How Does Renting Compare With Homeownership Across Canada?
Each $100,000 in mortgage balance costs an average of $564 per month on nesto’s lowest fixed 5-year rate at 4.59%, and $506 per month on nesto’s lowest adjustable 5-year rate at 3.45%.
On the variable side, a 0.25% change in the Bank of Canada’s policy rate moves that payment by roughly $13.47 per $100,000 if rates rise, or $13.27 if they fall. Fixed payments aren’t affected the same way mid-term—a fixed rate is locked for the term and tracks bond yields, not the policy rate directly, so this sensitivity applies only to the variable side.
The interest rates used for the calculation are those offered on insured purchases with less than a 20% down payment, on a 25-year amortization, as of September 30, 2026 and are subject to change. Canada’s policy rate is 2.25%, and nesto’s prime rate is 4.45%.
We're curious…
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) About the Canadian Housing Market in 2026
Are Canadian Housing Market Conditions Favouring Buyers or Sellers in 2026?
Canadian housing market conditions do not decisively favour either side in 2026, as the national market is balanced. The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) eased to 49.1% in August, and months of inventory fell to 4.8, both squarely within the range consistent with a balanced market. The regional paths differ. Sellers’ markets across the Prairies, Quebec and the East Coast have been cooling for a year, while the Lower Mainland and Ontario’s Greater Golden Horseshoe have moved back up out of buyer-favouring conditions. Saskatchewan, New Brunswick and Newfoundland and Labrador remain borderline sellers’ markets.
Are Home Prices in Canada Going Up or Down in 2026?
Home prices in Canada are moving in both directions in 2026, depending on which measure you use, and the difference matters. In July, the national average price was $674,819, up 0.2% from the previous year, while the MLS Home Price Index composite benchmark was $661,800, down 3.3%. The average price reflects what happened in sales that month, so it rises when more activity shifts to more expensive provinces. The benchmark controls for the mix of homes sold and tracks the value of a comparable property. CREA forecasts the national average price to finish 2026 about 1.1% higher, at roughly $686,710. If you are budgeting a purchase, the benchmark is the more reliable guide.
Is Canada Entering a Nationwide Housing Recovery in 2026?
Canada is not entering a nationwide housing recovery in 2026, and the improvement that does exist is not spread evenly. Seasonally adjusted national sales slipped 0.7% in August after four months of gains, and activity remained well below the 10-year average for the month. CREA expects full-year 2026 sales to fall 1.4% to 463,336 units, with Ontario the only province forecast to post an annual gain, and does not project a broad national increase until 2027. Annual price declines have narrowed each month since January, suggesting stabilization rather than recovery.
Why Are Condominium Prices Falling Faster Than Detached Homes in Canada?
Condominium prices are falling faster than detached homes because new supply is arriving in Canada just as demand for higher-density housing reverses. Several years of heavy condominium construction were completed as international migration slowed sharply, leaving an unsold overhang that has weighed on the segment. The August benchmarks clearly show the spread. Apartments benchmarked at $459,800 nationally, against $731,200 for single-family homes. Investors and first-time buyers, the two groups most concentrated in this segment, have stepped back simultaneously.
What Is Limiting Canadian Housing Demand in 2026?
Population growth is the primary factor limiting housing demand in Canada in 2026. Tighter immigration rules have pulled household formation below what the market was built to absorb, and Ontario’s population growth turned negative in the second quarter, running 0.9% below year-earlier levels after reaching 3.6% two years ago. Qualification is the second constraint. The mortgage stress test still requires borrowers to qualify at a rate higher than the one they will actually pay, so income caps buying power even when prices have fallen. Borrowing costs are no longer the obstacle they were, because the Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since October.
Will Canadian Home Sales Increase in 2026 Without Further Interest Rate Cuts?
Canadian home sales are still expected to finish 2026 lower than 2025 without further interest rate cuts. Seasonally adjusted sales rose for four straight months before slipping 0.7% in August, while the Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since October. CREA forecasts 2026 sales to close 1.4% below 2025 before rising 3.7% in 2027 as pent-up demand returns. Stable rates have been enough to support a gradual improvement, but not enough to trigger a rebound.
Is It Cheaper to Rent or Buy in Canada in 2026?
Renting is still cheaper month-to-month than buying in most large Canadian markets in 2026. Average asking rents have now fallen year-over-year for an extended stretch, reaching $2,035 in August, down 4.8% from a year earlier. Home prices are also lower than a year ago on a benchmark basis, down 3.0% nationally, while the Bank of Canada’s policy rate has held at 2.25%. The option which costs less over time depends on how long it takes to save the down payment, how long you plan to stay, and your mortgage interest rate.
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