Canadian Housing Market Outlook 2026
Canadian Home Sales Extend Their Recovery in June
According to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) for June 2026, national home sales climbed for a third consecutive month, rising a seasonally adjusted 0.5% to 38,014 transactions, even though activity remains roughly 11% below the 10-year average. The composite benchmark price held essentially flat at $657,700, the first month without a decline in 17 months.
- The MLS Home Price Index composite price came in essentially unchanged at $657,700, with condominium prices posting the best monthly gain of any property type and their first increase in nearly three years.
- Months of inventory eased to 4.8, and the national sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) climbed to 50.2%, its first reading above 50% so far in 2026.
- The typical home now costs about 4.24 times the median dual income, down from 5.95 times at the February 2022 peak and close to 2019 levels, with real, inflation-adjusted prices sitting roughly 26% below their high.
CREA’s July 15 forecast revision now points to 463,336 sales for 2026, a 1.4% downgrade tied largely to a shrinking population base. Statistics Canada figures show the population fell for a third straight quarter, driven by a roughly 20% drop in new permanent immigrants and more deaths than births. Ontario is the only province CREA expects to see sales rise this year, Alberta prices turned a corner in the second quarter, and Newfoundland and Labrador remains the country’s last full seller’s market.
If you’re weighing a purchase or planning a renewal as affordability continues to improve, compare today’s mortgage rates in Canada and connect with nesto mortgage experts to see how affordable homeownership can be for you.
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Canadian Housing Market Highlights
- The average selling price of a home in Canada decreased by 3.3% year-over-year to $665,600 in June.
- The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada decreased by 2.9% year-over-year to $744,100 in June.
- The average selling price of a townhouse/multiplex in Canada decreased by 4.5% year-over-year to $604,400 in June.
- The average selling price of a condo in Canada decreased by 5.5% year-over-year to $464,900 in June.
- The average rent in Canada decreased by 4.3% year-over-year to $2,033 for June.
- July 21, 2026: Today’s lowest mortgage rate in Canada is 4.09% for a 5-year fixed.
Data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) indicates that the benchmark price of resale residential homes sold across Canada in June was $665,600, and it decreased by 3.3% compared to a year ago.
CREA also reported a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 50%, indicating Balanced market conditions nationally for June.
Composite Home Prices
The average selling price of a home in Canada was $665,600 for the month of June, that’s increased by 0.2% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, Canadian home prices have decreased 3.3% year-over-year.
Single-family Home Prices
The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada was $744,100 for the month of June, that’s increased by 0.3% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, single-family home prices in Canada have decreased by 2.9% year-over-year.
Townhouse and Multiplex Prices
The average selling price of a townhouse in Canada was $604,400 for the month of June, that’s increased by 0.1% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a townhouse in Canada has decreased by 4.5% year-over-year.
Condo Prices
The average selling price of a condo in Canada was $464,900 for the month of June, that’s decreased by 0.4% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a condo in Canada has decreased 5.5% year-over-year.
Transactions – Number of Sales
The number of sales in Canada was 38,014 during June, that’s increased by 0.4% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, sales in Canada have decreased by 2.3% year-over-year.
New Listings
The number of new listings in Canada was 75,725 during June, that’s decreased by 1.8% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, new listings in Canada have decreased by 1.3% year-over-year.
Real Estate Market
The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) in Canada was 50% during June, indicating a Balanced. On a monthly basis, that’s increased by 2.2% month over month. Canada’s yearly sales-to-new-listings ratio has increased by 4.1% year-over-year.
The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) measures the number of home sales compared to new listings. An SNLR below 40% indicates a buyer’s market, where buyers hold the upper hand and greater negotiating power. An SNLR between 40% and 60% is a balanced market, while an SNLR of over 60% is considered a seller’s market.
Annual Changes in Composite Home Prices by Province
Annual Changes to the National Composite Home Prices
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National Rents Post a Third Straight Monthly Gain
According to the National Rental Report for July 2026, the average asking rent across Canada eased to $2,033 in June, down 4.3% from a year earlier but up 0.2% from May, the third straight monthly increase since bottoming out at a 35-month low of $2,008 in March.
- Purpose-built apartments proved the most resilient rental type, down just 3.1% year over year to $2,034, while condos fell 6.8% to $2,058 and houses and townhomes posted the steepest annual drop, 7.4%, to $2,017.
- Among the six largest markets, Toronto and Vancouver both posted monthly gains in June, Ottawa logged the group’s largest monthly increase at 1.3%, and Calgary posted the steepest annual decline, down 5.6%.
- Shared accommodation rents across British Columbia, Alberta, Ontario, and Quebec held flat at $900 for a sixth straight month, still down 4.1% from a year ago.
Twenty-one straight months of annual declines is a long stretch by any measure, yet three consecutive monthly gains since March’s low hint that the correction may be losing steam. The gap between Canada’s most and least expensive large rental markets kept widening for a sixth straight month, with North Vancouver holding its spot as the country’s priciest market at $2,944, even as Edmonton stood out as the only major market where shared-accommodation rents climbed.
Start by comparing mortgage rates in Canada to see how they stack up against renting, then connect with nesto mortgage experts to map out what your home purchase could look like.
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Canada Market Rents Snapshot
The average rent in Canada was $2,033 for the month of June, which decreased by 4.3% year over year.
The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Canada was $1,767 for the month of June, which decreased by 4.5% year over year.
The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Canada was $2,159 for the month of June, which decreased by 2.8% year over year.
Rental Price Changes by City
| Rank | City | Total Average | 1 Bedroom | 2 Bedrooms |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Vancouver | $2,983 | $2,457 | $3,363 |
| 2 | Vancouver | $2,723 | $2,392 | $3,336 |
| 3 | North York | $2,563 | $2,154 | $2,765 |
| 4 | Kanata | $2,551 | $2,282 | $2,766 |
| 5 | Toronto | $2,543 | $2,213 | $2,912 |
| 6 | Burnaby | $2,522 | $2,135 | $2,766 |
| 7 | Coquitlam | $2,504 | $2,083 | $2,687 |
| 8 | Oakville | $2,438 | $2,170 | $2,657 |
| 9 | Etobicoke | $2,427 | $2,084 | $2,629 |
| 10 | Burlington | $2,381 | $2,064 | $2,470 |
| 11 | Mississauga | $2,360 | $2,056 | $2,437 |
| 12 | Halifax | $2,351 | $2,051 | $2,628 |
| 13 | Langley | $2,285 | $1,965 | $2,439 |
| 14 | Vaughan | $2,277 | $2,028 | $2,586 |
| 15 | Victoria | $2,258 | $1,999 | $2,642 |
| 16 | Brampton | $2,231 | $1,962 | $2,355 |
| 17 | Ajax | $2,217 | $1,834 | $2,262 |
| 18 | Scarborough | $2,210 | $1,862 | $2,292 |
| 19 | Guelph | $2,193 | $1,901 | $2,276 |
| 20 | Surrey | $2,187 | $1,803 | $2,239 |
| 21 | Ottawa | $2,179 | $1,956 | $2,462 |
| 22 | Barrie | $2,144 | $1,874 | $2,164 |
| 23 | New Westminster | $2,132 | $1,888 | $2,640 |
| 24 | Waterloo | $2,115 | $1,918 | $2,253 |
| 25 | Kingston | $2,111 | $1,875 | $2,232 |
| 26 | Kelowna | $2,110 | $1,831 | $2,241 |
| 27 | Nanaimo | $2,102 | $1,847 | $2,313 |
| 28 | Laval | $2,089 | $1,726 | $2,350 |
| 29 | East York | $2,077 | $1,829 | $2,335 |
| 30 | Cambridge | $2,075 | $1,836 | $2,141 |
| 31 | Airdrie | $2,027 | $1,477 | $1,814 |
| 32 | Peterborough | $2,000 | $1,755 | $1,968 |
| 33 | Brossard | $1,987 | $1,708 | $2,246 |
| 34 | Greater Sudbury | $1,980 | $1,702 | $2,140 |
| 35 | Oshawa | $1,966 | $1,740 | $2,015 |
| 36 | Montreal | $1,951 | $1,780 | $2,257 |
| 37 | Kamloops | $1,949 | $1,796 | $2,034 |
| 38 | Hamilton | $1,939 | $1,680 | $2,255 |
| 39 | London | $1,932 | $1,664 | $2,068 |
| 40 | Brantford | $1,923 | $1,779 | $2,029 |
| 41 | Calgary | $1,886 | $1,515 | $1,853 |
| 42 | Kitchener | $1,865 | $1,662 | $2,048 |
| 43 | Niagara Falls | $1,861 | $1,607 | $1,976 |
| 44 | St. Catharines | $1,827 | $1,570 | $1,904 |
| 45 | Gatineau | $1,781 | $1,593 | $1,888 |
| 46 | Welland | $1,762 | $1,533 | $1,937 |
| 47 | Côte Saint-Luc | $1,705 | $1,450 | $1,971 |
| 48 | Windsor | $1,702 | $1,488 | $1,921 |
| 49 | Winnipeg | $1,678 | $1,472 | $1,770 |
| 50 | Sarnia | $1,664 | $1,477 | $1,709 |
| 51 | Edmonton | $1,610 | $1,292 | $1,632 |
| 52 | Saskatoon | $1,544 | $1,341 | $1,561 |
| 53 | Lethbridge | $1,534 | $1,321 | $1,543 |
| 54 | Quebec City | $1,508 | $1,292 | $1,675 |
| 55 | Red Deer | $1,508 | $1,337 | $1,499 |
| 56 | Regina | $1,457 | $1,309 | $1,523 |
| 57 | Fort McMurray | $1,413 | $1,212 | $1,443 |
| 58 | Medicine Hat | $1,370 | $1,238 | $1,374 |
| 59 | Lloydminster | $1,306 | $1,026 | $1,378 |
| 60 | St. John's | $1,172 | $1,061 | $1,268 |
Source: Rentals.ca Network Data & Urbanation Inc.
Rental Price Changes by Province
Rental Price Growth by Housing Type
How Does Renting Compare with Homeownership Across Canada?
Each $100,000 in mortgage balance costs an average of $530.91 per month on nesto’s lowest fixed 5-year rate at 4.09% and $495.28 per month on nesto’s lowest adjustable 5-year rate at 3.40%.
For each $100,000 in mortgage balance, a 0.25% change in Canada’s policy rate impacts the monthly payment by $13.42. Rates used for calculation are those offered on insured purchases with less than a 20% downpayment on a 25-year amortization. Canada’s policy rate is 2.25%, and nesto’s prime rate is 4.45%.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) About the Canadian Housing Market in 2026
Why are national home prices forecast to rise in Canada even after recent corrections?
Canadian home price forecasts reflect pent-up demand combined with structurally low housing supply rather than renewed speculation. Ongoing population growth and limited new construction continue to support national home prices despite recent regional corrections.
Is Canada entering a nationwide housing recovery in 2026?
Canada is not experiencing a uniform housing recovery in 2026, as market conditions vary widely across regions. Some regional markets are stabilizing or rebounding, while others continue to adjust due to affordability constraints and elevated inventory levels.
What is the most significant factor limiting Canadian housing demand in 2026?
In 2026, income qualification limits under mortgage stress test rules are the primary constraint on Canadian housing demand, as mortgage rates have stabilized while home prices remain elevated.
Are Canadian housing market conditions favouring buyers or sellers in 2026?
Canadian housing market conditions in 2026 remain close to balanced nationally, although buyer-friendly conditions are emerging in regions with higher inventory, particularly in Ontario and BC.
Will Canadian home sales increase through 2026 without further interest rate cuts?
Canadian home sales are expected to increase gradually in 2026 as buyer confidence improves and pent-up demand returns, even without additional interest rate cuts.
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