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Toronto Housing Market Outlook 2026

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GTA Homebuyers Stay on the Sidelines as Economic Uncertainty Lingers

According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), GTA realtors reported 5,040 sales through the MLS System in September 2026, down 9% from September 2025, while new listings fell 14.4% to 16,500. TRREB attributed the slowdown to economic uncertainty, inflation and borrowing costs.

  • The GTA composite benchmark price was $917,600, down 4.7% YoY, and the average selling price was $1,006,409, down 5.1% YoY. Apartments fell 6.7% YoY, townhouses 6.5% and single-family homes 4.8%.
  • Detached sales fell 8.7% YoY to 2,399, semi-detached sales fell 8.2% to 459, townhouse sales fell 12.8% to 803, and condo apartment sales fell 7.8% to 1,316. Seasonally adjusted, sales fell 5.2%, and new listings fell 3.8% from August.
  • Calculated by nesto from TRREB’s counts, the sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) was 30.5%, up from 28.7% a year earlier because new listings fell faster than sales.

TRREB executives named two local pressures. The upcoming municipal elections will shape housing policy across the GTA, and TRREB chief executive John DiMichele urged governments to reduce barriers such as the City of Toronto’s Municipal Land Transfer Tax. Chief information officer Jason Mercer said pent-up demand remains, with many households waiting for confidence in jobs and inflation before they buy.

If you plan to buy in the GTA, speak with our nesto mortgage experts about getting pre-qualified and compare mortgage rates in Toronto while prices sit below last year’s levels.

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Toronto Housing Market Highlights

  • The average selling price of a home in Toronto decreased by 4.65% year-over-year to $917,600 in September 2026.
  • The average selling price of a single-family home in Toronto decreased by 5.00% year-over-year to $1,116,700 in September 2026.
  • The average selling price of a townhouse/multiplex in Toronto decreased by 6.50% year-over-year to $668,800 in September 2026.
  • The average selling price of a condo in Toronto decreased by 6.69% year-over-year to $527,200 in September 2026.
  • October 29, 2026: Today’s lowest mortgage rate in Toronto is 4.59% for a 5-year fixed.

Data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) indicates that the average price of resale residential homes sold across Toronto in September 2026 was $917,600, and it decreased by 4.65% compared to a year ago.

TRREB also reported a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 30.5%, indicating buyers market conditions in Toronto for September 2026.

TorontoComposite Price September 2026 Composite Price August 2026YoY Change (%)MoM Change (%)
Single Family Home$1,116,700$1,128,600decreased by 5.00%decreased by 1.05%
Townhouse/Multiplex$668,800$666,500decreased by 6.50%increased by 0.35%
Condo / Apartments$527,200$531,200decreased by 6.69%decreased by 0.75%
Composite$917,600$925,900decreased by 4.65%decreased by 0.90%

Toronto Home Price Changes Over The Last Decade

Composite Home Prices

The average selling price of a home in Toronto was $917,600 for the month of September 2026, that’s decreased by 0.90% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, Toronto home prices have decreased by 4.65%.

Composite Home Prices in Toronto

Monthly changes to Toronto’s composite home prices over the last 10 years.

Single-Family Home Prices

The average selling price of a single-family home in Toronto was $1,116,700 for the month of September 2026; that’s decreased by 1.05% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, single-family home prices in Toronto have decreased by 5.00%.

Single-Family Home Prices in Toronto

Monthly changes to Toronto’s single-family home prices over the last 10 years.

Townhouse and Multiplex Prices

The average selling price of a townhouse in Toronto was $668,800 for the month of September 2026; that’s increased by 0.35% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a townhouse in Toronto has decreased by 6.50%.

Townhouse and Multiplex Prices in Toronto

Monthly changes to Toronto’s townhouse and multiplex home prices over the last 10 years.

Condo Prices

The average selling price of a condo in Toronto was $527,200 for the month of September 2026; that’s decreased by 0.75% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a condo in Toronto has decreased by 6.69%.

Condo Prices in Toronto

Monthly changes to Toronto’s condominium apartment home prices over the last 10 years.

Toronto Housing Market Conditions

Number of Home Sales

Toronto home sales were 5,040 during September 2026, that’s decreased by 0.34% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, home sale transactions in Toronto have decreased by 9.87%.

Home Sales Volume in Toronto

Toronto’s MLS home sale volume over the past 12 months.

New Listings

The number of new listings in Toronto totalled 16,500 during September 2026, that’s increased by 36.65% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, new listings in Toronto have decreased by 14.33%.

New Listings in Toronto

Toronto’s MLS new listings over the past 12 months.

Sales-to-New-Listings Ratio (SNLR)

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) in Toronto was 30.5% during September 2026, indicating a buyers market. That’s decreased by 27.21% month-over-month. Toronto’s yearly sales-to-new-listings ratio has increased by 5.17%.

SNLR in Toronto

Monthly change in Toronto’s sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) over the past 12 months.

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) measures home sales relative to new listings. An SNLR below 40% indicates a buyer’s market, where buyers hold the upper hand and greater negotiating power. An SNLR between 40% and 60% indicates a balanced market, while an SNLR over 60% indicates a seller’s market. 

Market Conditions in Toronto

Oct 2025 buyers market
Nov 2025 balanced market
Dec 2025 sellers market
Jan 2026 buyers market
Feb 2026 buyers market
Mar 2026 buyers market
Apr 2026 buyers market
May 2026 buyers market
Jun 2026 buyers market
Jul 2026 balanced market
Aug 2026 balanced market
Sep 2026 buyers market

SNLR — last 12 months

Monthly change in Toronto’s market conditions over the past 12 months.

Short-Term Composite Home Price Trends in Toronto

Monthly changes to Toronto’s composite home price over the last 12 months.


Toronto Market Rents Snapshot

The average rent in Toronto was $2,556 in September 2026 and has decreased by 1.99% year over year.

The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Toronto was $2,220 for September 2026 and has decreased by 2.33% year over year.

The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Toronto was $2,937 for September 2026 and has increased by 0.79% year over year.

Average Rents for Cities Across Canada

RankCityTotal Avg1 Bed2 Bed
1North Vancouver$3,028$2,466$3,477
2Vancouver$2,754$2,373$3,271
3Burnaby$2,564$2,111$2,785
4Toronto$2,556$2,220$2,937
5North York$2,528$2,093$2,692
6Kanata$2,501$2,265$2,691
7Coquitlam$2,482$2,053$2,608
8Oakville$2,460$2,165$2,703
9Etobicoke$2,431$2,099$2,644
10Barrie$2,397$2,148$2,552
11Burlington$2,379$2,074$2,389
12Vaughan$2,363$2,114$2,569
13Mississauga$2,337$2,036$2,423
14Halifax$2,324$2,002$2,508
15Brampton$2,261$1,990$2,334
16Victoria$2,253$1,987$2,632
17New Westminster$2,241$1,881$2,734
18Langley$2,239$1,868$2,426
19Surrey$2,227$1,807$2,251
20Guelph$2,225$1,961$2,292
21Ajax$2,214$1,927$2,294
22Ottawa$2,200$1,969$2,445
23Scarborough$2,178$1,855$2,315
24Waterloo$2,158$1,884$2,302
25Nanaimo$2,157$1,897$2,261
26Kingston$2,150$1,930$2,308
27Laval$2,131$1,712$2,364
28Kelowna$2,111$1,834$2,270
29Brossard$2,083$1,790$2,190
30Cambridge$2,055$1,863$2,143
31East York$2,044$1,800$2,355
32Airdrie$2,013$1,466$1,750
33Oshawa$1,993$1,724$2,006
34Niagara Falls$1,988$1,714$1,960
35Greater Sudbury$1,982$1,745$2,076
36Montreal$1,961$1,746$2,261
37Kamloops$1,957$1,701$2,023
38Kitchener$1,935$1,709$2,063
39Peterborough$1,926$1,692$1,964
40Brantford$1,923$1,780$2,033
41Hamilton$1,910$1,657$2,130
42London$1,897$1,628$1,998
43Calgary$1,883$1,508$1,834
44St. Catharines$1,830$1,518$1,959
45Welland$1,792$1,540$1,920
46Gatineau$1,769$1,625$1,810
47Côte Saint-Luc$1,655$1,410$1,875
48Winnipeg$1,653$1,435$1,764
49Windsor$1,638$1,467$1,843
50Edmonton$1,633$1,281$1,643
51Quebec City$1,620$1,308$1,642
52Red Deer$1,614$1,338$1,503
53Sarnia$1,583$1,408$1,642
54Lethbridge$1,573$1,355$1,558
55Saskatoon$1,559$1,305$1,536
56Regina$1,468$1,305$1,521
57Lloydminster$1,392$1,108$1,422
58Fort McMurray$1,386$1,147$1,372
59St. John's$1,362$1,167$1,328
60Medicine Hat$1,360$1,232$1,391
Average Rent by City
Source: Rentals.ca Network Data & Urbanation Inc.

Average Rent by Province

LOCATIONTotal1B2B3B
AB$1,780$1,409$1,745$2,177
BC$2,231$1,904$2,355$2,850
MB$2,403$2,045$2,649$3,313
ON$1,649$1,428$1,751$2,008
QC$2,240$1,963$2,410$2,902
SK$1,933$1,694$2,144$2,558
Atlantic Canada$1,490$1,284$1,504$1,993
Canada$2,034$1,756$2,138$2,489

Average Rent by Property Type Across Canada

TYPETotal1B2B3B
Apartment$2,036$1,799$2,221$2,715
Condominium$2,052$1,844$2,161$2,769
House/Townhouse$2,016$1,311$1,732$2,299
All$2,034$1,756$2,138$2,489

How Does Renting Compare With Homeownership in Toronto?

Each $100,000 in mortgage balance costs an average of $564 per month on nesto’s lowest fixed 5-year rate at 4.59%, and $517 per month on nesto’s lowest adjustable 5-year rate at 3.66%.

On the variable side, a 0.25% change in the Bank of Canada’s policy rate moves that payment by roughly $13.47 per $100,000 if rates rise, or $13.27 if they fall. Fixed payments aren’t affected the same way mid-term—a fixed rate is locked for the term and tracks bond yields, not the policy rate directly, so this sensitivity applies only to the variable side.

The interest rates used for the calculation are those offered on insured purchases with less than a 20% down payment, on a 25-year amortization, as of October 29, 2026 and are subject to change. Canada’s policy rate is 2.50%, and nesto’s prime rate is 4.70%.


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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) About the Toronto Housing Market in 2026

Are Toronto Housing Market Conditions Favouring Buyers or Sellers in 2026?

Based on September data, housing market conditions across the GTA favour buyers in 2026. Calculated by nesto from TRREB’s counts, the sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) was 30.5% in September, below the 40% line that marks a buyer’s market and up from 28.7% a year earlier. The ratio rose from last year because new listings fell 14.4% year over year to 16,500 while sales fell 9% to 5,040. TRREB attributed the slowdown to economic uncertainty, inflation and borrowing costs.

Are Home Prices in Toronto Going Up or Down in 2026?

Home prices across the GTA are down in 2026. TRREB’s MLS Home Price Index composite benchmark was $917,600 in September, down 4.7% year over year, and the average selling price was $1,006,409, down 5.1%. Apartments fell the most, down 6.7% year over year, while townhouses fell 6.5% and single-family homes fell a comparatively modest 4.8%. Seasonally adjusted, TRREB’s composite benchmark slipped 0.5% from August to $924,600.

Why Are Toronto Listings Falling Faster Than Sales?

GTA new listings are falling faster than sales because fewer sellers are listing while buyers wait for more confidence. New listings dropped 14.4% year over year to 16,500 in September 2026, while sales fell 9% to 5,040. TRREB attributed the slowdown to economic uncertainty, inflation and borrowing costs, and chief information officer Jason Mercer said pent-up demand remains, with many households waiting for confidence in jobs and inflation before they buy. Because listings fell faster than sales, the SNLR rose to 30.5% from 28.7% a year earlier.

What Is Toronto’s Weakest Property Type Right Now?

Apartments are the weakest property type in the GTA on price, down 6.7% year over year in September 2026. Townhouses are down 6.5%, and single-family homes have been the most resilient, down 4.8%, according to TRREB’s MLS Home Price Index. Sales tell a slightly different story: townhouse sales fell the most, down 12.8% to 803, while condo apartment sales fell 7.8% to 1,316, detached sales fell 8.7% to 2,399 and semi-detached sales fell 8.2% to 459.

Should Toronto Buyers Wait or Purchase Now?

Whether GTA buyers should wait or purchase now depends on how they weigh today’s lower prices against economic uncertainty. The composite benchmark price was $917,600 in September, down 4.7% year over year, and the SNLR of 30.5% points to buyer’s market conditions with more room to negotiate. TRREB’s chief information officer, Jason Mercer, said pent-up demand remains, with many households waiting for confidence in jobs and inflation before they buy. Speaking with a nesto mortgage expert about getting pre-qualified shows what you can afford before you decide.

Is It Cheaper to Rent or Buy in Toronto in 2026?

Whether renting or buying in Toronto in 2026 is cheaper depends on your timeline and finances. The GTA composite benchmark price was $917,600 in September, down 4.7% year over year, while the average asking rent in Toronto was $2,556, down 2%. The lower-cost option over time still depends on how long it takes to save the down payment, how long you plan to stay and the mortgage rate you qualify for.


Why Choose nesto

At nesto, our commission-free mortgage experts are salaried and regulated, with most licensed in multiple provinces. They are evaluated on client satisfaction and the quality of their advice, and they help you compare mortgage options and understand rates and qualification requirements. Once you’re ready to move forward, they work with you on a mortgage strategy that fits your situation.

nesto pairs expert advice with a 100% digital, transparent and seamless process, and a dedicated mortgage professional supports you throughout your purchase, renewal or refinance.

nesto is on a mission to offer a positive, empowering and transparent property financing experience – simplified from start to finish.

Contact our knowledgeable mortgage experts to find your best mortgage rate in Canada.


About the contributors

Written by

Samson Solomon

Mortgage Content Expert

Samson is a Mortgage Content Expert at nesto with over 25 years of experience in retail banking, financial advising and…