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Toronto Housing Market Outlook 2026

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Listings Dry Up Faster Than Sales Across the GTA

According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) for August 2026, Toronto-area realtors reported 5,057 sales, down just 2.1% from August 2025. New listings told a very different story, falling 14.1% to 12,075. Supply is contracting roughly seven times as fast as demand, which is the single most important takeaway from this month’s data.

  • The composite benchmark was down 4.5% year over year and essentially flat against July on a seasonally adjusted basis. The average selling price was $993,410, down 2.7%, marking the second time in 2026 that the GTA average has dipped below $1 million.
  • Active listings fell 11.3% year over year to 24,482, and the sales-to-new-listings ratio sat at 41.9%. That keeps the GTA in balanced territory, though only just, and it’s meaningfully different from a year ago.
  • Condo apartments remain the weakest segment, with prices down 7.1% YoY to $531,200. Townhouses fell 6.2% to $666,500 and single-family homes fell 4.7% to $1,128,600.

TRREB President Daniel Steinfeld framed the coming months as a trade-off for buyers between waiting for economic certainty and buying before prices rise. That is the right way to read it: today’s price discount is real, but the inventory that made it negotiable is thinning.

If you are shopping in the GTA this fall, the window where soft prices meet ample choice is closing. Compare mortgage rates in Toronto and speak with our nesto mortgage experts about locking a rate before the fall listings cycle turns.

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Toronto Housing Market Highlights

  • The average selling price of a home in Toronto decreased by 4.46% year-over-year to $925,900 in August 2026.
  • The average selling price of a single-family home in Toronto decreased by 4.73% year-over-year to $1,128,600 in August 2026.
  • The average selling price of a townhouse/multiplex in Toronto decreased by 6.18% year-over-year to $666,500 in August 2026.
  • The average selling price of a condo in Toronto decreased by 7.07% year-over-year to $531,200 in August 2026.
  • October 9, 2026: Today’s lowest mortgage rate in Toronto is 4.59% for a 5-year fixed.

Data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) indicates that the average price of resale residential homes sold across Toronto in August 2026 was $925,900, and it decreased by 4.46% compared to a year ago.

TRREB also reported a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 41.9%, indicating balanced market conditions in Toronto for August 2026.

TorontoComposite Price August 2026 Composite Price July 2026YoY Change (%)MoM Change (%)
Single Family Home$1,128,600$1,141,000decreased by 4.73%decreased by 1.09%
Townhouse/Multiplex$666,500$673,200decreased by 6.18%decreased by 1.00%
Condo / Apartments$531,200$535,200decreased by 7.07%decreased by 0.75%
Composite$925,900$934,600decreased by 4.46%decreased by 0.93%

Toronto Home Price Changes Over The Last Decade

Composite Home Prices

The average selling price of a home in Toronto was $925,900 for the month of August 2026, that’s decreased by 0.93% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, Toronto home prices have decreased by 4.46%.

Composite Home Prices in Toronto

Monthly changes to Toronto’s composite home prices over the last 10 years.

Single-Family Home Prices

The average selling price of a single-family home in Toronto was $1,128,600 for the month of August 2026; that’s decreased by 1.09% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, single-family home prices in Toronto have decreased by 4.73%.

Single-Family Home Prices in Toronto

Monthly changes to Toronto’s single-family home prices over the last 10 years.

Townhouse and Multiplex Prices

The average selling price of a townhouse in Toronto was $666,500 for the month of August 2026; that’s decreased by 1.00% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a townhouse in Toronto has decreased by 6.18%.

Townhouse and Multiplex Prices in Toronto

Monthly changes to Toronto’s townhouse and multiplex home prices over the last 10 years.

Condo Prices

The average selling price of a condo in Toronto was $531,200 for the month of August 2026; that’s decreased by 0.75% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a condo in Toronto has decreased by 7.07%.

Condo Prices in Toronto

Monthly changes to Toronto’s condominium apartment home prices over the last 10 years.

Toronto Housing Market Conditions

Number of Home Sales

Toronto home sales were 5,057 during August 2026, that’s decreased by 15.65% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, home sale transactions in Toronto have decreased by 2.96%.

Home Sales Volume in Toronto

Toronto’s MLS home sale volume over the past 12 months.

New Listings

The number of new listings in Toronto totalled 12,075 during August 2026, that’s decreased by 16.63% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, new listings in Toronto have decreased by 13.98%.

New Listings in Toronto

Toronto’s MLS new listings over the past 12 months.

Sales-to-New-Listings Ratio (SNLR)

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) in Toronto was 41.9% during August 2026, indicating a balanced market. That’s increased by 1.21% month-over-month. Toronto’s yearly sales-to-new-listings ratio has increased by 12.94%.

SNLR in Toronto

Monthly change in Toronto’s sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) over the past 12 months.

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) measures home sales relative to new listings. An SNLR below 40% indicates a buyer’s market, where buyers hold the upper hand and greater negotiating power. An SNLR between 40% and 60% indicates a balanced market, while an SNLR over 60% indicates a seller’s market. 

Market Conditions in Toronto

Sep 2025 buyers market
Oct 2025 buyers market
Nov 2025 balanced market
Dec 2025 sellers market
Jan 2026 buyers market
Feb 2026 buyers market
Mar 2026 buyers market
Apr 2026 buyers market
May 2026 buyers market
Jun 2026 buyers market
Jul 2026 balanced market
Aug 2026 balanced market

SNLR — last 12 months

Monthly change in Toronto’s market conditions over the past 12 months.

Short-Term Composite Home Price Trends in Toronto

Monthly changes to Toronto’s composite home price over the last 12 months.


Toronto Market Rents Snapshot

The average rent in Toronto was $2,571 in August 2026 and has decreased by 1.80% year over year.

The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Toronto was $2,221 for August 2026 and has decreased by 3.01% year over year.

The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Toronto was $2,939 for August 2026 and has increased by 0.65% year over year.

Average Rents for Cities Across Canada

RankCityTotal Avg1 Bed2 Bed
1North Vancouver$3,036$2,501$3,434
2Vancouver$2,729$2,350$3,248
3Oakville$2,695$2,316$3,021
4Toronto$2,571$2,221$2,939
5Kanata$2,524$2,251$2,754
6Burnaby$2,520$2,119$2,724
7North York$2,519$2,085$2,690
8Coquitlam$2,510$2,087$2,709
9Etobicoke$2,441$2,081$2,653
10Vaughan$2,422$2,110$2,516
11Burlington$2,386$2,068$2,425
12Halifax$2,365$1,999$2,591
13Mississauga$2,346$2,042$2,443
14Barrie$2,332$2,103$2,472
15Langley$2,266$1,911$2,480
16Brampton$2,259$1,971$2,351
17Victoria$2,255$1,994$2,649
18Guelph$2,224$1,927$2,276
19New Westminster$2,203$1,901$2,655
20Kingston$2,200$1,933$2,353
21Ottawa$2,200$1,958$2,470
22Scarborough$2,187$1,835$2,319
23Surrey$2,185$1,796$2,250
24Ajax$2,182$1,890$2,241
25Waterloo$2,169$1,922$2,337
26Laval$2,130$1,726$2,352
27Nanaimo$2,078$1,844$2,251
28Kelowna$2,073$1,823$2,248
29East York$2,056$1,792$2,379
30Brossard$2,044$1,767$2,139
31Cambridge$2,027$1,834$2,174
32Oshawa$2,023$1,740$2,019
33Niagara Falls$1,978$1,659$1,958
34Airdrie$1,966$1,429$1,774
35Greater Sudbury$1,959$1,720$2,101
36Kamloops$1,957$1,750$2,026
37Montreal$1,957$1,742$2,259
38Kitchener$1,938$1,691$2,084
39Hamilton$1,921$1,653$2,135
40London$1,913$1,651$2,030
41Brantford$1,911$1,787$2,025
42Peterborough$1,892$1,680$1,918
43Calgary$1,885$1,508$1,845
44St. Catharines$1,810$1,530$1,921
45Gatineau$1,776$1,607$1,857
46Welland$1,754$1,505$1,978
47Côte Saint-Luc$1,710$1,405$1,966
48Windsor$1,670$1,475$1,906
49Winnipeg$1,646$1,426$1,754
50Edmonton$1,631$1,275$1,646
51Sarnia$1,607$1,438$1,674
52Quebec City$1,586$1,299$1,677
53Red Deer$1,573$1,345$1,515
54Lethbridge$1,545$1,334$1,572
55Saskatoon$1,517$1,295$1,531
56Regina$1,468$1,291$1,536
57Fort McMurray$1,378$1,163$1,382
58Medicine Hat$1,371$1,228$1,381
59Lloydminster$1,330$1,056$1,412
60St. John's$1,293$1,136$1,453
Average Rent by City
Source: Rentals.ca Network Data & Urbanation Inc.

Average Rent by Province

LOCATIONTotal1B2B
AB$1,776$1,405$1,747
BC$2,387$2,048$2,634
MB$1,643$1,419$1,742
ON$2,256$1,968$2,437
QC$1,931$1,690$2,149
SK$1,461$1,265$1,502
Atlantic Canada$2,274$1,909$2,434
Canada$2,035$1,753$2,146

Average Rent by Property Type Across Canada

TYPETotal1B2B
All$2,035$1,753$2,146
Apartment$2,038$1,799$2,232
Condominium$2,050$1,827$2,170
House/Townhouse$2,014$1,305$1,733

How Does Renting Compare With Homeownership in Toronto?

Each $100,000 in mortgage balance costs an average of $564 per month on nesto’s lowest fixed 5-year rate at 4.59%, and $503 per month on nesto’s lowest adjustable 5-year rate at 3.41%.

On the variable side, a 0.25% change in the Bank of Canada’s policy rate moves that payment by roughly $13.47 per $100,000 if rates rise, or $13.27 if they fall. Fixed payments aren’t affected the same way mid-term—a fixed rate is locked for the term and tracks bond yields, not the policy rate directly, so this sensitivity applies only to the variable side.

The interest rates used for the calculation are those offered on insured purchases with less than a 20% down payment, on a 25-year amortization, as of October 9, 2026 and are subject to change. Canada’s policy rate is 2.25%, and nesto’s prime rate is 4.45%.


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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) About the Toronto Housing Market in 2026

Are Toronto Housing Market Conditions Favouring Buyers or Sellers in 2026?

Toronto housing market conditions remain balanced in 2026, though the balance is thinning. The sales-to-new-listings ratio was 41.9% in August, just inside balanced territory, down from a much looser reading a year earlier. New listings fell 14.1% year over year while sales slipped only 2.1%, meaning supply is contracting far faster than demand, a trend that could tip the market back toward sellers if it continues.

Are Home Prices in Toronto Going Up or Down in 2026?

Home prices in Toronto are down in 2026, with the composite benchmark off 4.5% year over year and essentially flat against July. The average selling price was $993,410 in August, down 2.7%, the second time this year the GTA average has dipped below $1 million. Condo apartments fell hardest, down 7.1% to $531,200, while single-family homes declined a comparatively modest 4.7% to $1,128,600.

Why Are Toronto Listings Falling Faster Than Sales?

Toronto listings are falling roughly seven times faster than sales because sellers appear to be holding back at a much higher rate than buyers are stepping away. New listings dropped 14.1% year over year to 12,075, while sales eased only 2.1% to 5,057. As a result, active listings fell 11.3% to 24,482, tightening the sales-to-new-listings ratio to 41.9% even though demand has barely moved.

Which Toronto Property Type Is Weakest Right Now?

Condo apartments remain Toronto’s weakest property type, down 7.1% year over year to $531,200. Townhouses are down 6.2% to $666,500, while single-family homes have been the most resilient, down 4.7% to $1,128,600. The gap between the condo and single-family declines has widened over the year, pointing to a segment-specific overhang rather than a broad-based price correction.

Should Toronto Buyers Wait or Purchase Now?

TRREB President Daniel Steinfeld has framed this as a genuine trade-off rather than an obvious call either way: buyers can wait for more economic certainty, or purchase now while prices remain soft. Today’s discount is real, with the composite benchmark down 4.5% year over year, but the inventory that made that discount possible is thinning quickly, with new listings down 14.1% and active listings down 11.3% over the same period.

Is It Cheaper to Rent or Buy in Toronto in 2026?

Toronto’s home prices have fallen 4.5% year over year on a benchmark basis, narrowing the usual gap with renting, though asking rents in the city have also held up better than in most large Canadian markets. Which option costs less over time still depends on how long it takes to save the down payment, how long you plan to stay, and the mortgage rate you qualify for.


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About the contributors

Written by

Samson Solomon

Mortgage Content Expert

Samson is a Mortgage Content Expert at nesto with over 25 years of experience in retail banking, financial advising and…