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Canadian Housing Market Outlook 2026

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Canadian Home Sales End Year on a Soft Note as Regional Gaps Widen

Home resales across Canada slowed again in December, capping off a year marked by stalled momentum and uneven recoveries. National home sales declined 2.7% month over month, bringing total transactions for 2025 down 1.9% from 2024, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). While harsh winter weather played a role in some regions, affordability pressures, economic uncertainty, and a softer job market were the bigger forces keeping buyers sidelined.

What began as an early rebound, fuelled by rate cuts earlier in the year, faded by spring as trade tensions and confidence shocks hit demand, particularly in BC and Ontario. Inventory rose sharply in these regions, giving buyers more leverage and pushing prices lower in markets such as Toronto, Vancouver, and Calgary. By contrast, more affordable markets across the Prairies, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada continued to post price gains, supported by tighter supply-demand dynamics.

Nationally, the MLS Home Price Index ended December down 4% year over year, with condos and townhomes posting the largest declines. Average home prices, however, were largely flat, masking underlying softness in higher-cost regions. Looking ahead, CREA expects sales to pick up in the spring as pent-up demand re-emerges, but outcomes in 2026 are likely to remain highly regional, shaped by local affordability, supply conditions, and economic confidence.


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Canadian Housing Market Highlights

  • The average selling price of a home in Canada decreased by 4% year-over-year to $660,300 in December.
  • The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada decreased by 3.6% year-over-year to $733,300 in December.
  • The average selling price of a townhouse/multiplex in Canada decreased by 5.1% year-over-year to $602,300 in December.
  • The average selling price of a condo in Canada decreased by 5.5% year-over-year to $469,300 in December.
  • The average rent in Canada decreased by 2.3% year-over-year to $2,060 for December
  • January 21, 2026: Today’s lowest mortgage rate in Canada is for a 5-year fixed.

Data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) indicates that the benchmark price of resale residential homes sold across Canada in December was $660,300, and it decreased by 4% compared to a year ago.

CREA also reported a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 52%, indicating Balanced market conditions nationally for December.

Composite Home Prices

The average selling price of a home in Canada was $660,300 for the month of December, that’s decreased by 0.7% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, Canadian home prices have decreased 4% year-over-year.

Single-family Home Prices

The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada was $733,300 for the month of December, that’s decreased by 0.7% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, single-family home prices in Canada have decreased by 3.6% year-over-year.

Townhouse and Multiplex Prices

The average selling price of a townhouse in Canada was $602,300 for the month of December, that’s decreased by 0.9% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a townhouse in Canada has decreased by 5.1% year-over-year.

Condo Prices

The average selling price of a condo in Canada was $469,300 for the month of December, that’s decreased by 0.8% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a condo in Canada has decreased 5.5% year-over-year.

Transactions –  Number of Sales

The number of sales in Canada was 39,134 during December, that’s decreased by 2.7% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, sales in Canada have decreased by 7.4% year-over-year.

New Listings

The number of new listings in Canada was 75,011 during December, that’s decreased by 2% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, new listings in Canada have increased by 0.8% year-over-year.

Real Estate Market

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) in Canada was 52% during December, indicating a Balanced. On a monthly basis, that’s decreased by 0.8% month over month. Canada’s yearly sales to new listings ratio has decreased by 8.1% year-over-year.

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) measures the number of home sales compared to new listings. An SNLR below 40% indicates a buyer’s market, where buyers hold the upper hand and greater negotiating power. An SNLR between 40% and 60% is a balanced market, while an SNLR of over 60% is considered a seller’s market. 

Annual Changes in Composite Home Prices by Province

Annual Changes to the National Composite Home Prices

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National Rent Outlook Shows December Slide as Supply Gains Shift the Market Going Into 2026

Rental markets across Canada softened further in December, with average asking rents falling to $2,060, the lowest level in about two and a half years, according to data from Rentals.ca and Urbanation. Rents declined year over year for the 15th consecutive month, driven mainly by continued weakness in secondary-market units such as condos and houses, while purpose-built rentals proved more resilient. December also marked one of the slowest months for rental demand in recent years, as affordability pressures, slower population inflows, and a wave of new apartment completions combined to ease competition in most major markets, including Vancouver and Toronto, where rents fell to their lowest levels since early 2022.

Looking ahead to 2026, rental experts expect near-term softness to persist before conditions stabilize later in the year, as demand gradually recovers and the pace of new supply normalizes. While rents are unlikely to retrace the sharp gains seen earlier in the decade, markets with strong job growth and limited new construction could see renewed upward pressure, leaving the national picture defined by modest rent declines early on and a more balanced, uneven recovery as the year progresses.


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Canada Market Rents Snapshot

The average rent in Canada was $2,060 for the month of December, which decreased by 2.3% year over year.

The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Canada was $1,798 for the month of December, which decreased by 3.1% year over year.

The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Canada was $2,166 for the month of December, which decreased by 1.6% year over year.

Rental Price Changes by City

Rental Price Changes by Province

Rental Price Growth by Housing Type

How Does Renting Compare with Homeownership Across Canada?

Each $100,000 in mortgage balance costs an average of $572.53 per month on nesto’s lowest fixed 5-year rate at and $497.95 per month on nesto’s lowest adjustable 5-year rate at . For each $100,000 in mortgage balance, a 0.25% change in Canada’s policy rate impacts the monthly payment by $13.27. Rates used for calculation are those offered on insured purchases with less than a 20% downpayment on a 25-year amortization. Canada’s policy rate is 2.25%, and nesto’s prime rate is 4.45%.

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Frequently Asked Questions on the Canadian Housing Market in 2026

Will 2026 be a good year to buy a house in Canada?

Yes, 2026 could be an ideal year for homebuyers as housing prices in Canada are expected to stabilize, offering a window of opportunity for those looking to enter the market. With demand expected to increase in major cities such as Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary, Ottawa, Edmonton, and Montreal, buyers should act quickly in regions where prices are more affordable.

The potential for increased housing inventory and fewer price surges will make homeownership more attainable for financially prepared buyers.

Are Canadian home prices expected to drop in 2026?

Home prices in Canada are expected to stabilize rather than decline sharply in 2026. While some regions may experience slight price corrections, factors such as low housing supply, population growth, and continued demand will keep prices relatively stable.

Major urban centres may see modest increases, while smaller markets could experience greater affordability. Monitoring housing trends will help buyers identify areas with more favourable pricing.

Will Canada’s housing experience a bubble in 2026?

Speculation about a housing bubble remains, but experts predict Canada’s real estate market is entering a period of stabilization rather than collapse in 2026.

Housing shortages, particularly in high-demand regions such as Montréal and Winnipeg, continue to prevent significant declines in prices. While affordability challenges persist, Canada’s market is more likely to experience a soft landing, with home prices balancing as supply improves.

What are the predictions for Canada’s housing prices in 2026?

Home prices in Canada are predicted to remain stable through 2026, with slight increases in major markets. Supply-demand imbalances will likely drive growth, particularly in regions with limited housing inventory.

Cities such as Vancouver, Montreal, Calgary, Ottawa, Edmonton, Winnipeg, and Toronto will remain competitive due to ongoing demand, whereas smaller markets may offer greater affordability for buyers. Monitoring regional price forecasts will help identify areas with stable or lower home prices.

How will growth impact Canada’s housing prices in 2026?

Canada’s growth will continue to put upward pressure on home prices in 2026. Increased demand for housing, particularly in urban centres, will outpace housing supply growth, thereby helping to maintain competitive prices. Efforts to improve construction and address supply shortages may help balance the market over time, but high-demand areas are expected to remain price resilient over the long term.

Will housing affordability improve in 2026?

Housing affordability in Canada will remain a key challenge in 2026, particularly in cities such as Toronto and Vancouver, where demand for affordable housing far exceeds supply. While home prices are stabilizing, affordability improvements will depend on increased housing inventory, more balanced market conditions, and the Bank of Canada’s ability to bring inflation within its 2% target.

Buyers seeking affordable options should explore smaller markets or up-and-coming regions with lower home prices.


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At nesto, our commission-free mortgage experts, certified in multiple provinces, provide exceptional advice and service that exceeds industry standards. Our mortgage experts are salaried employees who provide impartial guidance on mortgage options tailored to your needs and are evaluated based on client satisfaction and the quality of their advice. nesto aims to transform the mortgage industry by providing honest advice and competitive rates through a 100% digital, transparent, and seamless process.

nesto is on a mission to offer a positive, empowering and transparent property financing experience – simplified from start to finish.

Contact our licensed and knowledgeable mortgage experts to find your best mortgage rate in Canada.


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