Home Buying #Real Estate

Canadian Housing Market Outlook 2025

Canadian Housing Market Outlook 2025

Table of contents


    National Market Report Summary

    • The average selling price of a home in Canada decreased by 3.4% year-over-year to $686,800 in August 2025.
    • The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada decreased by 2.9% year-over-year to $764,800 in August 2025.
    • The average selling price of a townhouse/multiplex in Canada decreased by 4.6% year-over-year to $626,200 in August 2025.
    • The average selling price of a condo in Canada decreased by 5.3% year-over-year to $486,000 in August 2025.
    • The average rent in Canada decreased by 1% year-over-year to $2,122 for August 2025
    • October 6, 2025: Today’s lowest mortgage rate in Canada is for a 5-year fixed.

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    Composite Home Prices

    The average selling price of a home in Canada was $686,800 for the month of August 2025, that’s decreased by 0.9% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, Canadian home prices have decreased 3.4% over the last 12 months.

    Single-family Home Prices

    The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada was $764,800 for the month of August 2025, that’s decreased by 0.9% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, single-family home prices in Canada have decreased by 2.9% over the last 12 months.

    Townhouse and Multiplex Prices

    The average selling price of a townhouse in Canada was $626,200 for the month of August 2025, that’s decreased by 1% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a townhouse in Canada has decreased by 4.6% over the last 12 months.

    Condo Prices

    The average selling price of a condo in Canada was $486,000 for the month of August 2025, that’s decreased by 0.9% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a condo in Canada has decreased 5.3% over the last 12 months.

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    Canada Housing Market Summary

    Data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) indicates that the benchmark price of resale residential homes sold across Canada in August 2025 was $686,800, and it decreased by 3.4% compared to a year ago.

    CREA also reported a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 51%, indicating a Balanced nationally for August 2025.


    Canada Shows Strongest August Home Sales Since 2021

    According to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) for August 2025, the national housing market is stabilizing after 2 years of volatility. Home sales rose slightly compared to July, while the average home price remained flat. The data highlights resilience in demand despite high borrowing costs, with both homebuyers and sellers adjusting to new realities.

    August marked the 5th consecutive month of sales growth, making it the busiest August since 2021. RBC reported that activity is slowly but unevenly picking up across regions, with stronger gains in Montréal, Calgary, and Vancouver, while affordability-challenged Ontario markets continue to face downward price pressure.

    • The national average home price $693,300 remains flat from July.
    • Home sales numbered 40,714 transactions, up 1.1% MoM and the highest in 4 years.
    • New listings numbered 79,527 units, up 2.6% giving buyers more choice.
    • The sales-to-new-listings ratio hit 51.2% consistent with balanced conditions.

    Home Price Index Shows Smallest Decline In Over A Year

    The National Composite MLS Home Price Index edged down 0.1% to $687,300, leaving values 3.5% lower than a year earlier. The modest national dip hides sharp regional differences.

    • Ontario markets, such as Toronto and Hamilton, continue to experience declines with elevated inventory levels.
    • The Prairie provinces and Atlantic Canada posted monthly gains.
    • Vancouver values remain under pressure, though improving demand is bringing supply and sales closer to balance.

    TD economist Rishi Sondhi noted that supply and demand conditions remain relatively tight across several provinces. In BC and Ontario, conditions favour buyers, but the strength of more expensive properties has lifted average home prices in these regions.

    New Listings Increase To Highest Level in 4 Years

    CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart highlighted that activity has been gradually picking up for 5 months. He added that pent-up demand from the spring is finally surfacing. Montréal and Ottawa posted stronger home sales while Toronto softened under affordability and inventory constraints.

    National inventory ended August at 195,453 properties, up nearly 9% from last year. Housing supply stood at 4.4 months of inventory (MOI) at current levels, keeping conditions firmly balanced. Homebuyers now have more choices, while sellers are adapting to longer sales timelines.

    Regional Highlights Show Diverging Market Conditions

    • Toronto prices remain 27% below the 2022 peak, with active listings up 35%. Detached sales are stabilizing while condo prices continue to fall.
    • Vancouver resales rose 6% MoM, marking the 3rd straight monthly increase. Buyers are re-engaging as listings improve.
    • Montréal recorded one of its strongest Augusts since 2021, with resales and listings up more than 5%. Home prices continue to rise modestly under tight supply.
    • Calgary and Edmonton home sales are turning upward, with Calgary up 8% MoM, though abundant new supply is keeping prices down 4.1% YoY.
    • Atlantic Canada housing activity improved after a soft spring. Halifax market sees fewer extreme price swings and steadier confidence.

    Canada Pushes Forward On Housing Supply Targets

    Beyond market activity, the structural issue of housing supply remains in focus. The federal government has launched the Build Canada Homes agency with a $13-billion program to accelerate affordable construction. The first wave includes 4,000 homes planned across federal lands in Toronto, Ottawa, Winnipeg, Edmonton, Dartmouth, and Longueuil. Prime Minister Mark Carney stated that the core challenge in the housing market is that it is just too hard to build. Modular and factory-built approaches will be used to cut costs and timelines. A $1-billion transitional housing fund is also planned for at-risk households.

    Mortgage Implications For Buyers and Sellers

    Homebuyers now have greater negotiating room as balanced conditions reduce the chance of bidding wars. Sellers must price realistically to attract interest. Mortgage holders are still navigating affordability challenges, though expectations for rate cuts are shifting the outlook.

    Refinancers: Stable values support equity take-out for debt consolidation or renovations, though borrowers must weigh break penalties and carrying costs for longer amortizations.

    Homebuyers: Pre-approvals and stress testing remain critical. Insured mortgages provide more flexibility for qualifying in today’s balanced market.

    Renewers: Shorter terms or blend-and-extend strategies may help manage risk while waiting for potential interest rate cuts.


    Month-over-Month Expectations for the Canadian Housing Market

    Transactions –  Number of Sales

    The number of sales in Canada was 40,714 during August 2025, that’s increased by 1.1% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, sales in Canada have increased by 6.2% over the last 12 months.

    New Listings

    The number of new listings in Canada was 79,527 during August 2025, that’s increased by 3.6% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, new listings in Canada have increased by 6.5% over the last 12 months.

    Real Estate Market

    The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) in Canada was 51% during August 2025, indicating a Balanced. On a monthly basis, that’s decreased by 2.4% compared to the previous month. Canada’s yearly sales to new listings ratio has decreased by 0.3% over the last 12 months.

    The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) measures the number of home sales compared to new listings. An SNLR under 40% suggests a buyer’s market in which buyers have the upper hand and more negotiating power. An SNLR between 40% and 60% is a balanced market, while an SNLR of over 60% is considered a seller’s market. 

    Annual Changes Composite Home Prices by Province

    Annual Changes to the National Composite Home Prices

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    Canadian Rents Show Decline For Eleventh Straight Month

    According to the September 2025 Rentals.ca and Urbanation Rent Report, average asking rents in Canada fell 2.3% YoY in August to $2,137. This marked the eleventh straight month of annual rent declines, the longest streak since the pandemic, when rents dropped for fifteen consecutive months.

    The August decline was less steep than the 3.7% drop in July and represented the smallest annual decrease since November 2024. Despite falling on a yearly basis, rents rose 0.8% MoM, pulling the 3-month trend back into positive territory with a 0.4% gain.

    Apartment And Condo Segments Show Diverging Trends

    Purpose-built rental apartments proved most resilient, with asking rents down only 0.4% YoY. By comparison, condo rents dropped 3.7% and house and townhouse rents fell 6%. Over the past 3 years, rental prices for purpose-built units are up 22.6%, condos up 4.3%, while houses are essentially flat.

    Saskatchewan and Manitoba are the Only Provincial Outliers with Rent Growth

    • Alberta: Apartment rents declined 3.5% annually to $1,746, though they remain up 23.5% over 3 years.
    • British Columbia: Average apartment rents dropped 2.7% to $2,467.
    • Ontario: Apartment rents fell 2.5% to $2,330, with 1-bedroom units down nearly 5%.
    • Québec: Apartment rents held steady at $1,959 overall, with 3-bedroom units up 3.7%.
    • Saskatchewan: Led the country with 3.2% annual growth, supported by the lowest provincial average at $1,381.
    • Manitoba: Rents increased 1.2% to $1,613, making it the only other province with annual gains.

    Kingston Sees Fastest Pace of Rental Price Increase

    • Kingston: Apartment rents jumped 15% YoY, the fastest pace in the country.
    • Vancouver: Rents dropped 9.5% to $2,820, the steepest decline among large markets.
    • Toronto: Average apartment rents dipped 3.4% to $2,606, the smallest annual decline in over a year.
    • Montréal: Rents eased only 0.5% to $1,978, the mildest decline among major cities.
    • Edmonton: Apartment rents climbed nearly 1% to $1,585 and have surged 25.5% over the last 3 years.

    Supply And Policy Shifts Aim To Stabilize Affordability

    Rising supply has been a significant factor driving rent moderation. Shared accommodation listings jumped 19% YoY in August, pushing average room rents down to $952 nationally. In parallel, the federal Build Canada Homes agency has announced a $13-billion program to construct 4,000 affordable units on federal land across Toronto, Ottawa, Winnipeg, Edmonton, Dartmouth, and Longueuil. Prime Minister Mark Carney emphasized that lowering rents requires faster construction approvals and cost-efficient building methods such as modular and factory-built housing.

    Housing Implications For Tenants and Landlords

    Rent moderation provides short-term relief for tenants facing affordability stress. However, rents remain above pre-pandemic levels, and demand will likely pick up again with immigration and household formation.

    • Renters continue to benefit from slowing price growth, particularly in Ontario and BC, though availability is still a concern in hotter markets.
    • Homebuyers may find homeownership more appealing as the gap between monthly rents and mortgage payments narrows, especially if the Bank of Canada returns to easing monetary policy.
    • Renewers And Refinancers could see downward pressure on rates translate into improved affordability and qualification, especially as mortgage lenders adjust to a softer inflation backdrop.

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    Canada Market Rents Summary

    The average rent in Canada was $2,122 for the month of August 2025, which decreased by 1% on a year-over-year basis.

    The average rent for a bachelor apartment in Canada was $1,641 for the month of August 2025, which increased by 1.4% on a year-over-year basis.

    The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Canada was $1,890 for the month of August 2025, which decreased by 3% on a year-over-year basis.

    The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Canada was $2,305 for the month of August 2025, which decreased by 1.5% on a year-over-year basis.

    The average rent for a 3-bedroom apartment in Canada was $1,890 for the month of August 2025, which decreased by 1.5% on a year-over-year basis.

    How Does Renting Compare with Homeownership in Today’s Housing Market?

    Each $100,000 in mortgage balance costs an average of $520.08 per month on nesto’s lowest fixed 5-year rate at and $527.84 per month on nesto’s lowest adjustable 5-year rate at . For each $100,000 in mortgage balance, a 0.25% change in Canada’s policy rate impacts the monthly payment by $13.71. Rates used for calculation are those offered on insured purchases with less than a 20% downpayment on a 25-year amortization. Canada’s policy rate is 2.50%, and nesto’s prime rate is 4.70%.

    Rental Price Changes by City

    Rental Price Changes by Province

    Rental Price Growth by Housing Type

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    Frequently Asked Questions on Canadian Housing Market Outlook for 2025

    Will 2025 be a good year to buy a house in Canada?

    2025 could be an ideal year for homebuyers as housing prices in Canada are expected to stabilize, offering a window of opportunity for those looking to enter the market. With demand expected to remain strong in big cities like Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal, buyers should act quickly in regions where prices are more affordable. The potential for increased housing inventory and fewer price surges will make homeownership more attainable for financially prepared buyers.

    Are Canadian home prices expected to drop in 2025?

    Home prices in Canada are expected to stabilize rather than decline sharply in 2025. While some regions may experience slight price corrections, factors like low housing supply, population growth, and continued demand will keep prices relatively steady. Major urban centres may see modest increases, while smaller markets could experience greater affordability. Monitoring housing trends will help buyers identify areas with more favourable pricing.

    Will Canada’s housing market still be in a bubble in 2025?

    Speculation about a housing bubble remains, but experts predict Canada’s real estate market is entering a period of stabilization rather than collapse. Housing shortages, particularly in high-demand regions like Toronto and Vancouver, continue to prevent significant price drops. While affordability challenges persist, Canada’s market is more likely to experience a soft landing, with home prices balancing as supply improves.

    What are the predictions for Canada’s housing prices in 2025?

    Home prices in Canada are predicted to remain stable, with slight increases in major markets. Supply-demand imbalances will likely drive growth, particularly in regions with limited housing inventory. Cities like Vancouver, Montreal, and Toronto will remain competitive due to ongoing demand, while smaller markets may offer better affordability for buyers. Monitoring regional price forecasts will help identify areas with stable or lower home prices.

    How will population growth impact Canada’s housing prices in 2025?

    Canada’s strong population growth will continue to put upward pressure on home prices in 2025. Increased demand for homes, particularly in urban centres, will outpace the growth in housing supply, maintaining competitive prices. Efforts to improve construction and address supply shortages may help balance the market over time, but high-demand areas are expected to see continued price resilience.

    Will housing affordability improve in 2025?

    Housing affordability in Canada will remain a key challenge in 2025, especially in cities like Toronto and Vancouver, where demand far exceeds supply. While home prices are stabilizing, affordability improvements will depend on increased housing inventory and more balanced market conditions. Buyers looking for affordable options should explore smaller markets or up-and-coming regions where prices remain more accessible.


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    nesto is on a mission to offer a positive, empowering and transparent property financing experience – simplified from start to finish.

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