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Canadian Housing Market Outlook 2026

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Canadian Housing Market Remains Quiet Ahead of Spring

According to the Canadian Real Estate Association, home sales continued to move at a slow pace in February 2026. However, activity showed signs of picking up toward the end of the month. National sales edged down 1.3% month over month, as many buyers continued to wait for mortgage rates to find a bottom or for prices to level off in specific regions.

Pent-Up Demand Poised to Drive Spring Momentum

While the start of the year has been quiet, experts expect a significant release of pent-up demand from first-time buyers as the spring market begins in April. The number of newly listed properties fell by 3.9% in February, reversing the jump seen in January and resulting in a tighter national sales-to-new-listings ratio of 47.6%.

  • The national average sale price for February was $663,828, representing a marginal 0.2% decline from the same month last year.
  • The National Composite MLS Home Price Index fell 0.6% month-over-month and remains 4.8% below February 2025 levels.
  • There were 151,850 properties listed for sale across all Canadian MLS systems at the end of the month, a 3.7% increase from one year ago.
  • Inventory levels nationally sit at five months, which is exactly in line with the long-term average for the Canadian market.
  • Market activity was notably slow in the Ontario corridor between Windsor and Toronto, whereas price increases were observed in several other provinces.

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Canadian Housing Market Highlights

  • The average selling price of a home in Canada decreased by 4.8% year-over-year to $661,300 in February.
  • The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada decreased by 4.5% year-over-year to $735,000 in February.
  • The average selling price of a townhouse/multiplex in Canada decreased by 6% year-over-year to $599,300 in February.
  • The average selling price of a condo in Canada decreased by 5.8% year-over-year to $469,300 in February.
  • The average rent in Canada decreased by 2.8% year-over-year to $2,030 for February
  • March 21, 2026: Today’s lowest mortgage rate in Canada is for a 5-year fixed.

Data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) indicates that the benchmark price of resale residential homes sold across Canada in February was $661,300, and it decreased by 4.8% compared to a year ago.

CREA also reported a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 48%, indicating Balanced market conditions nationally for February.

Composite Home Prices

The average selling price of a home in Canada was $661,300 for the month of February, that’s increased by 0.5% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, Canadian home prices have decreased 4.8% year-over-year.

Single-family Home Prices

The average selling price of a single-family home in Canada was $735,000 for the month of February, that’s increased by 0.5% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, single-family home prices in Canada have decreased by 4.5% year-over-year.

Townhouse and Multiplex Prices

The average selling price of a townhouse in Canada was $599,300 for the month of February, that’s increased by 0.5% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a townhouse in Canada has decreased by 6% year-over-year.

Condo Prices

The average selling price of a condo in Canada was $469,300 for the month of February, that’s increased by 0.5% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a condo in Canada has decreased 5.8% year-over-year.

Transactions –  Number of Sales

The number of sales in Canada was 35,680 during February, that’s decreased by 1.3% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, sales in Canada have decreased by 7.8% year-over-year.

New Listings

The number of new listings in Canada was 74,958 during February, that’s decreased by 3.8% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, new listings in Canada have decreased by 0.1% year-over-year.

Real Estate Market

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) in Canada was 48% during February, indicating a Balanced. On a monthly basis, that’s increased by 2.6% month over month. Canada’s yearly sales to new listings ratio has decreased by 7.7% year-over-year.

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) measures the number of home sales compared to new listings. An SNLR below 40% indicates a buyer’s market, where buyers hold the upper hand and greater negotiating power. An SNLR between 40% and 60% is a balanced market, while an SNLR of over 60% is considered a seller’s market. 

Annual Changes in Composite Home Prices by Province

Annual Changes to the National Composite Home Prices

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Canadian Rents See A Welcome Cool-Down for Tenants

According to the Rentals.ca March 2026 Rent Report, the average asking rent in Canada fell to $2,030 in February. This mark represents a 33-month low and is the 17th consecutive month of year-over-year rent declines across the country. This trend is signalling a significant shift in the Canadian housing market as affordability begins to improve for many tenants.

Negotiation Power Shifts as Rents Soften

Nationally, average asking rents declined 2.8% year-over-year in February 2026. There was also a 1.3% monthly decline from January, which is the largest February decline since 2020. This cooling trend is particularly evident in high-density segments, making urban lifestyles more affordable for those seeking them.

  • Condominium rental units saw the steepest price drops, falling 5.1% year-over-year.
  • Purpose-built rentals declined by 1.9% at the same time.
  • One-bedroom rents fell 3.5% year-over-year to an average of $1,781.
  • Three-bedroom units increased by 0.6% to $2,486 due to limited supply for families.
  • Vancouver one-bedroom asking prices fell 5.7% year-over-year, part of a broader 11.8% decline from the province’s 2023 peak.

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Canada Market Rents Snapshot

The average rent in Canada was $2,030 for the month of February, which decreased by 2.8% year over year.

The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Canada was $1,781 for the month of February, which decreased by 3.5% year over year.

The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Canada was $2,162 for the month of February, which decreased by 1.1% year over year.

Rental Price Changes by City

RankCITYTotal Average1 Bedroom2 BedroomsYear-over-Year Change
1North Vancouver$2,969$2,465$3,330−4.4%
2Vancouver$2,672$2,376$3,289−4.5%
3North York$2,524$2,119$2,6890.00%
4Burnaby$2,517$2,099$2,788−6.6%
5Coquitlam$2,513$2,051$2,750−6.3%
6Toronto$2,482$2,201$2,857−6.8%
7Oakville$2,456$2,188$2,524−21.3%
8Kanata$2,405$2,251$2,564−14.3%
9Etobicoke$2,375$2,092$2,548−8.4%
10Mississauga$2,373$2,077$2,478−7.6%
11Burlington$2,356$2,052$2,435−5.0%
12Langley$2,344$2,069$2,467−1.2%
13Scarborough$2,294$1,926$2,387−6.8%
14Kingston$2,287$1,927$2,45523.00%
15Brampton$2,282$1,986$2,302−2.8%
16Victoria$2,271$1,998$2,607−3.3%
17Halifax$2,269$2,023$2,5501.80%
18East York$2,267$1,913$2,498−8.8%
19Vaughan$2,254$2,072$2,516−5.6%
20Waterloo$2,223$2,055$2,329−9.2%
21Ajax$2,217$1,812$2,251−0.5%
22Guelph$2,183$1,973$2,241−8.6%
23Barrie$2,154$1,926$2,1720.20%
24Ottawa$2,143$1,960$2,489−2.3%
25New Westminster$2,131$1,887$2,650−5.1%
26Hamilton$2,115$1,767$2,2588.50%
27Laval$2,105$1,711$2,3438.70%
28Surrey$2,090$1,801$2,236−7.4%
29Greater Sudbury$2,080$1,897$2,145−5.8%
30Nanaimo$2,057$1,812$2,3247.20%
31Cambridge$2,039$1,802$2,104−6.1%
32Kitchener$2,019$1,790$2,143−4.6%
33Oshawa$2,018$1,746$2,058−4.8%
34Kamloops$2,018$1,773$2,1805.50%
35Brantford$1,996$1,820$2,1032.80%
36Kelowna$1,994$1,703$2,142−9.9%
37Brossard$1,973$1,799$2,049−9.0%
38Peterborough$1,956$1,711$1,995−0.6%
39Montreal$1,925$1,722$2,2570.10%
40Airdrie$1,914$1,442$1,702−4.3%
41London$1,912$1,647$2,048−6.1%
42Niagara Falls$1,901$1,615$1,936−9.2%
43Calgary$1,870$1,531$1,844−3.9%
44Gatineau$1,869$1,639$2,049−8.2%
45St. Catharines$1,832$1,626$1,937−2.7%
46Sarnia$1,761$1,538$1,836−4.0%
47Welland$1,704$1,546$1,8721.70%
48Winnipeg$1,671$1,427$1,8003.20%
49Windsor$1,657$1,517$1,825−1.5%
50Edmonton$1,590$1,302$1,639−0.7%
51Côte Saint-Luc$1,567$1,415$1,802−21.9%
52Red Deer$1,556$1,282$1,5112.10%
53Saskatoon$1,555$1,329$1,5552.10%
54Lethbridge$1,502$1,361$1,5820.00%
55Regina$1,454$1,259$1,5213.30%
56Quebec City$1,444$1,341$1,597−15.2%
57Medicine Hat$1,364$1,240$1,386−0.6%
58Fort McMurray$1,353$1,165$1,411−0.7%
59Lloydminster$1,255$1,090$1,3548.40%
60St. John's$1,163$1,084$1,253−5.1%
Average Rent by City
Source: Rentals.ca Network Data & Urbanation Inc.

Rental Price Changes by Province

Rental Price Growth by Housing Type

How Does Renting Compare with Homeownership Across Canada?

Each $100,000 in mortgage balance costs an average of $520.07 per month on nesto’s lowest fixed 5-year rate at and $495.28 per month on nesto’s lowest adjustable 5-year rate at .

For each $100,000 in mortgage balance, a 0.25% change in Canada’s policy rate impacts the monthly payment by $13.23. Rates used for calculation are those offered on insured purchases with less than a 20% downpayment on a 25-year amortization. Canada’s policy rate is 2.25%, and nesto’s prime rate is 4.45%.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) About the Canadian Housing Market in 2026

Why are national home prices forecast to rise in Canada even after recent corrections?

Canadian home price forecasts reflect pent-up demand combined with structurally low housing supply rather than renewed speculation. Ongoing population growth and limited new construction continue to support national home prices despite recent regional corrections.

Is Canada entering a nationwide housing recovery in 2026?

Canada is not experiencing a uniform housing recovery in 2026, as market conditions vary widely across regions. Some regional markets are stabilizing or rebounding, while others continue to adjust due to affordability constraints and elevated inventory levels.

What is the most significant factor limiting Canadian housing demand in 2026?

In 2026, income qualification limits under mortgage stress test rules are the primary constraint on Canadian housing demand, as mortgage rates have stabilized while home prices remain elevated.

Are Canadian housing market conditions favouring buyers or sellers in 2026?

Canadian housing market conditions in 2026 remain close to balanced nationally, although buyer-friendly conditions are emerging in regions with higher inventory, particularly in Ontario and BC.

Will Canadian home sales increase through 2026 without further interest rate cuts?

Canadian home sales are expected to increase gradually in 2026 as buyer confidence improves and pent-up demand returns, even without additional interest rate cuts.


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