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Toronto Housing Market Outlook 2026

Toronto Shows December Slump Deepening as Recovery Signals Shift to 2026

Toronto’s housing market ended December under clear pressure, with resale activity slipping again and home prices continuing to trend lower amid elevated inventory and cautious buyer behaviour. Sales declined modestly from November on a seasonally adjusted basis and remained well below typical pre-pandemic levels, while new listings continued to outpace demand, keeping months of inventory firmly in balanced-to-buyer-leaning territory. Price declines were broad-based across low-rise homes and condos, with condominiums facing the sharpest pressure, particularly in the 905, as sellers increasingly adjusted expectations to meet the market and competition intensified late in the year.

Looking ahead to 2026, most analysts expect Toronto’s path forward to remain uneven rather than sharply rebounding, with recovery hinging on improving economic confidence, labour market stability, and clearer signals on trade and growth. Improved affordability and ample supply should gradually entice sidelined buyers back. Still, the abundance of listings and lingering uncertainty suggest price growth will remain muted until demand strengthens enough to absorb excess inventory.


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Toronto Housing Market Highlights

Data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) indicates that the average price of resale residential homes sold across Toronto in December 2025 was $942,300, and it decreased of 6.3% compared to a year ago.

TREBB also reported a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 70%, indicating Sellers market conditions in Toronto for December 2025.

  • The average selling price of a home in Toronto decreased by 6.3% year-over-year to $942,300 in December 2025.
  • The average selling price of a single-family home in Toronto decreased by 6.3% year-over-year to $1,150,200 in December 2025.
  • The average selling price of a townhouse/multiplex in Toronto decreased by 8.3% year-over-year to $688,900 in December 2025.
  • The average selling price of a condo in Toronto decreased by 8.2% year-over-year to $553,500 in December 2025.
  • The average rent in Toronto is now $2,503 for December 2025.
  • January 16, 2026: Today’s lowest mortgage rate in Toronto is for a 5year fixed.

Composite Home Prices

The average selling price of a home in Toronto was $942,300 for the month of December 2025, that’s decreased by 1% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, Toronto home prices have decreased 6.3% year-over-year.

Single-family Home Prices

The average selling price of a single-family home in Toronto was $1,150,200 for the month of December 2025, that’s decreased by 1.1% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, single-family home prices in Toronto have decreased by 6.3% year-over-year.

Townhouse and Multiplex Prices

The average selling price of a townhouse in Toronto was $688,900 for the month of December 2025, that’s decreased by 1.1% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a townhouse in Toronto has decreased by 8.3% year-over-year.

Condo Prices

The average selling price of a condo in Toronto was $553,500 for the month of December 2025, that’s decreased by 0.9% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a condo in Toronto has decreased 8.2% year-over-year.

Transactions –  Number of Sales

The number of sales in Toronto was 3,697 during December 2025, that’s decreased by 26.2% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, sales in Toronto have decreased by 8.9% year-over-year.

New Listings

The number of new listings in Toronto was 5,299 during December 2025, that’s decreased by 52.4% month over month. On a year-over-year basis, new listings in Toronto have increased by 1.8% year-over-year.

Real Estate Market

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) in Toronto was 70% during December 2025, indicating a Sellers. On a monthly basis, that’s increased by 55% month over month. Toronto’s yearly sales to new listings ratio has decreased by 10.5% year-over-year.

The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) measures the number of home sales compared to new listings. An SNLR below 40% indicates a buyer’s market, where buyers hold the upper hand and greater negotiating power. An SNLR between 40% and 60% is a balanced market, while an SNLR of over 60% is considered a seller’s market. 

Market Breakdown By Property Type for Toronto

Annual Changes to Composite Home Prices in Toronto


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Toronto Market Rents Snapshot

The average rent in Toronto was $2,503 for the month of December 2025.

The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Toronto was $2,206 for the month of December 2025, which decreased by 6.5% on a year-over-year basis.

The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Toronto was $2,797 for the month of December 2025, which decreased by 9.1% on a year-over-year basis.

Rental Price Changes by City

Rental Price Changes by Province

Rental Price Growth by Housing Type

How Does Renting Compare with Homeownership in Toronto?

Each $100,000 in mortgage balance costs an average of $572.53 per month on nesto’s lowest fixed 5-year rate at and $497.95 per month on nesto’s lowest adjustable 5-year rate at . For each $100,000 in mortgage balance, a 0.25% change in Canada’s policy rate impacts the monthly payment by $13.27. Rates used for calculation are those offered on insured purchases with less than a 20% downpayment on a 25-year amortization. Canada’s policy rate is 2.25%, and nesto’s prime rate is set to 4.45%.


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Frequently Asked Questions on Toronto Housing Market Outlook for 2026

Will Toronto housing prices go up in 2026?

Toronto home prices are expected to increase moderately in 2026, driven by low housing supply and strong demand. Population growth and falling mortgage rates will encourage more buyers to enter the market.

Will Toronto’s housing market crash in 2026?

A market crash is unlikely, but affordability challenges will continue. Due to limited inventory and sustained demand, the market is expected to remain competitive.

Is now a good time to buy in Toronto?

If prices stabilize and mortgage rates decline, 2026 could offer a good window to buy. Buyers should monitor Toronto mortgage rates and act quickly when conditions improve.

How affordable will Toronto homes be in 2026?

Toronto remains one of the least affordable cities in Canada, but stabilizing prices and wage growth may help offset affordability concerns.

How do I get pre-approved for a mortgage in Toronto?

To get pre-approved for a mortgage, assess current Toronto mortgage rates, meet lender requirements, and determine how much you can afford. A preapproval or a prequalification could strengthen your position in this competitive market.


Why Choose nesto

At nesto, our commission-free mortgage experts, certified in multiple provinces, provide exceptional advice and service that exceeds industry standards. Our mortgage experts are salaried employees who provide impartial guidance on mortgage options tailored to your needs and are evaluated based on client satisfaction and the quality of their advice. nesto aims to transform the mortgage industry by providing honest advice and competitive rates through a 100% digital, transparent, and seamless process.

nesto is on a mission to offer a positive, empowering and transparent property financing experience – simplified from start to finish.

Contact our licensed and knowledgeable mortgage experts to find your best mortgage rate in Canada.


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