Home Buying #Real Estate

Toronto Housing Market Outlook 2025

Toronto Housing Market Outlook 2025

Table of contents


    Toronto Market Report Summary

    • The average selling price of a home in Toronto decreased by 5.5% year-over-year to $960,300 in September 2025.
    • The average selling price of a single-family home in Toronto decreased by 5.8% year-over-year to $1,172,300 in September 2025.
    • The average selling price of a townhouse/multiplex in Toronto decreased by 6.6% year-over-year to $719,200 in September 2025.
    • The average selling price of a condo in Toronto decreased by 8.1% year-over-year to $563,100 in September 2025.
    • The average rent in Toronto decreased by 2.9% year-over-year to $2,592 for September 2025.
    • October 23, 2025: Today’s lowest mortgage rate in Toronto is for a 5year fixed.

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    Composite Home Prices

    The average selling price of a home in Toronto was $960,300 for the month of September 2025, that’s decreased by 1% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, Toronto home prices have decreased 5.5% over the last 12 months.

    Single-family Home Prices

    The average selling price of a single-family home in Toronto was $1,172,300 for the month of September 2025, that’s decreased by 1% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, single-family home prices in Toronto have decreased by 5.8% over the last 12 months.

    Townhouse and Multiplex Prices

    The average selling price of a townhouse in Toronto was $719,200 for the month of September 2025, that’s increased by 0.6% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a townhouse in Toronto has decreased by 6.6% over the last 12 months.

    Condo Prices

    The average selling price of a condo in Toronto was $563,100 for the month of September 2025, that’s decreased by 1.5% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a condo in Toronto has decreased 8.1% over the last 12 months.

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    Toronto Housing Market Summary

    Data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) indicates that the average price of resale residential homes sold across Toronto in September 2025 was $960,300, and it decreased of 5.5% compared to a year ago.

    TREBB also reported a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 29%, indicating a Buyers in Toronto for September 2025.


    Toronto Home Values Down 5.5% YoY as Buyers Regain Leverage

    According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), buyers are regaining leverage across the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) as record-high inventory levels intensify competition among sellers and push home values lower. The aggregate MLS Home Price Index fell for the tenth time in eleven months to $971,500 in September, down 0.5% MoM and 5.5% YoY. Home prices now sit roughly 25% below their early-2022 peak, giving buyers some long-awaited affordability relief.

    Toronto Market Overview

    After a slow start to the year, easing prices are sparking renewed activity. TRREB reported 5,592 sales through its MLS System in September, an 8.5% annual increase. Home resales have climbed 22% over the past four months, while new listings rose 4% YoY to 19,260 but edged slightly lower MoM, suggesting that certain market segments may be tightening again.

    Here’s how the key figures compare across the latest data period:

    • Average price: $1,059,377 (-4.7% YoY, +0.2% MoM)
    • MLS HPI: -5.5% YoY, -0.5% MoM
    • Sales volume: +8.5% YoY
    • New listings: +4% YoY

    “The Bank of Canada’s September interest rate cut was welcome news for homebuyers,” said TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule. “With lower borrowing costs, more households are now able to afford monthly mortgage payments on a home that meets their needs.”

    Toronto Home Price Trends

    The recent correction has eased much of the price escalation seen during the pandemic, when home values surged roughly 63% between 2020 and 2022. RBC Economics noted that the ongoing price slide—over $320,000 since the market peak—has “brought some affordability relief.” However, many buyers remain constrained by the stress test and high debt-service ratios, which continue to weigh on overall affordability.

    Market Demand and Inventory Levels in Toronto

    Despite moderate improvements, homebuying activity remains well below long-term averages relative to the GTA’s population. “While home sales have improved over the past year, they still remain below normal levels relative to the number of households in the GTA,” stated TRREB Chief Information Officer Jason Mercer. He added that “two more 25-basis-point interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada would see monthly mortgage payments move more in line with homebuyers’ average incomes.” The combination of easing rates and stable supply is expected to rebalance the market gradually through early 2026.

    Seller Strategies in a Slower Market

    Industry analyst John Pasalis observed that many sellers are still relying on outdated tactics that no longer align with current demand. “Pricing a home low to spark a bidding war… is often doing more harm than good,” he said. Pasalis explained that listings priced below market value often generate limited offers, leaving sellers to settle for lower prices. In contrast, standout homes with unique features continue to attract multiple bids, while most others sell more successfully when priced realistically and given time to find the right buyer.

    Toronto Market Outlook

    Looking ahead, most economists expect home prices to stabilize toward the end of 2025 as interest rates normalize and buyer confidence strengthens. Detached homes in suburban areas and downtown condos are likely to move in different directions, depending on local employment conditions and absorption rates. The pace of recovery will hinge on how quickly the Bank’s policy easing translates into lower mortgage rates and improved affordability.

    If the Bank maintains its path toward lower rates in 2026, both fixed and variable mortgage products could trend downward, setting the stage for a more balanced and sustainable housing market in Toronto.

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    Month-over-Month Market Expectations for Toronto

    Transactions –  Number of Sales

    The number of sales in Toronto was 5,592 during September 2025, that’s increased by 7.3% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, sales in Toronto have increased by 11.9% over the last 12 months.

    New Listings

    The number of new listings in Toronto was 19,260 during September 2025, that’s increased by 37.2% compared to the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, new listings in Toronto have increased by 6.5% over the last 12 months.

    Real Estate Market

    The sales to new listings ratio (SNLR) in Toronto was 29% during September 2025, indicating a Buyers. On a monthly basis, that’s decreased by 21.8% compared to the previous month. Toronto’s yearly sales to new listings ratio has increased by 5.1% over the last 12 months.

    The sales to new listings ratio (SNLR) measures the number of home sales compared to new listings. An SNLR under 40% suggests a buyer’s market in which buyers have the upper hand and more negotiating power. An SNLR between 40% and 60% is a balanced market, while an SNLR of over 60% is considered a seller’s market. 

    Market Breakdown By Property Type for Toronto

    Annual Changes to Composite Home Prices in Toronto

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    Toronto Market Rents Summary

    The average rent in Toronto was $2,592 for the month of September 2025, which decreased by 2.9% on a year-over-year basis.

    The average rent for a bachelor apartment in Toronto was $0 for the month of September 2025, which 0 by 0% on a year-over-year basis.

    The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Toronto was $2,295 for the month of September 2025, which decreased by 5.1% on a year-over-year basis.

    The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Toronto was $2,941 for the month of September 2025, which decreased by 7% on a year-over-year basis.

    The average rent for a 3-bedroom apartment in Toronto was $2,295 for the month of September 2025, which decreased by 7% on a year-over-year basis.

    How Does Renting Compare with Homeownership in Toronto?

    Each $100,000 in mortgage balance costs an average of $520.07 per month on nesto’s lowest fixed 5-year rate at and $514.13 per month on nesto’s lowest adjustable 5-year rate at . For each $100,000 in mortgage balance, a 0.25% change in Canada’s policy rate impacts the monthly payment by $13.51. Rates used for calculation are those offered on insured purchases with less than a 20% downpayment on a 25-year amortization. Canada’s policy rate is 2.50%, and nesto’s prime rate is set to 4.70%.

    Rental Price Changes by City

    Rental Price Changes by Province

    Rental Price Growth by Housing Type

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    Frequently Asked Questions on Toronto Housing Market Outlook for 2025

    Will Toronto housing prices go up in 2025?

    Toronto home prices are expected to increase moderately in 2025 due to low housing supply and strong demand. Population growth and falling mortgage rates will encourage more buyers to enter the market.

    Will Toronto’s housing market crash?

    A market crash is unlikely, but affordability challenges will continue. Due to limited inventory and sustained demand, the market is expected to remain competitive.

    Is now a good time to buy in Toronto?

    If prices stabilize and mortgage rates decline, 2025 could offer a good window to buy. Buyers should monitor Toronto mortgage rates and act quickly when conditions improve.

    How affordable will Toronto homes be in 2025?

    Toronto remains one of the least affordable cities in Canada, but stabilizing prices and wage growth may help offset affordability concerns.

    How do I get pre-approved for a mortgage in Toronto?

    To get pre-approved for a mortgage, assess current Toronto mortgage rates, meet lender requirements, and determine how much you can afford. A preapproval or a prequalification could strengthen your position in this competitive market.


    Why Choose nesto

    At nesto, our commission-free mortgage experts, certified in multiple provinces, provide exceptional advice and service that exceeds industry standards. Our mortgage experts are non-commissioned, salaried employees who provide impartial guidance on mortgage options tailored to your needs and are evaluated based on client satisfaction and advice quality. nesto aims to transform the mortgage industry by providing honest advice and competitive rates using a 100% fully digital, transparent, seamless process.

    nesto is on a mission to offer a positive, empowering and transparent property financing experience – simplified from start to finish.

    Contact our licensed and knowledgeable mortgage experts to find your best mortgage rate in Canada.


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