Ontario Housing Market Outlook 2026

On this page

Ontario Housing Activity Sluggish as Inventory Hits Decade Highs

According to the Ontario Real Estate Association and CREA, residential sales activity in Ontario remained subdued in February 2026, with 9,425 units changing hands. This represents an 8.1% decrease from the previous year and places home sales more than 35% below the ten-year average for the month.

Buyers Benefit from Elevated Supply and Softening Prices

While demand remains quiet, Ontario has reached its highest level of active listings for February in more than a decade, with 49,884 units on the market. This surge in supply, coupled with a 5.2% decline in the average resale price, is providing a rare window of opportunity for those with a secured mortgage pre-approval.

• The average price of homes sold across the province in February was $802,601, down from the same period last year.
• The overall MLS Home Price Index composite benchmark price fell 6.7% year-over-year to $746,900.
• Months of inventory rose to 5.3 at the end of February, up from 4.8 months in 2025 and well above the long-run average of 2.6 months for this time of year.
• New listings fell 11.6% year-over-year to 24,145 units, indicating that some sellers may be waiting for more favourable market conditions.
• Regional variations show the Western region experiencing the sharpest sales decline at 15.9%, while the Northern region saw a modest 1.9% increase in average prices.

---

Ontario Housing Market Highlights

• The average selling price of a home in Ontario decreased by 6.7% year-over-year to $746,900 in February.
• The average selling price of a single-family home in Ontario decreased by 6.3% year-over-year to $829,100 in February.
• The average selling price of a townhouse/multiplex in Ontario decreased by 8.1% year-over-year to $594,300 in February.
• The average selling price of a condo in Ontario decreased by 8.8% year-over-year to $496,200 in February.
• The average rent in Ontario decreased by 5% year-over-year to $2,243 for February.
• March 19, 2026: Today’s lowest mortgage rate in Ontario is for a 5-year fixed.

Data from the Ontario Real Estate Association (OREA) indicates that the average price of resale residential homes sold across Ontario in February was $746,900, and it decreased of 6.7% compared to a year ago.

OREA reported a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 39%, indicating Buyers market conditions in Ontario for February.

---

Composite Home Prices

Single-family Home Prices

Townhouse and Multiplex Prices

Condo Prices

---

Ontario Market Rents Snapshot

The average rent in Ontario was $2,243 for February, which decreased by 5% year over year.

The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in Ontario was $1,989 for the month of February, which decreased by 6% year over year.

The average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment in Ontario was $2,425 for the month of February, which decreased by 5% year over year.

Rental Price Changes by City

Rank	CITY	Total Average	1 Bedroom	2 Bedrooms	Year-over-Year Change
1	North Vancouver	$2,969	$2,465	$3,330	−4.4%
2	Vancouver	$2,672	$2,376	$3,289	−4.5%
3	North York	$2,524	$2,119	$2,689	0.00%
4	Burnaby	$2,517	$2,099	$2,788	−6.6%
5	Coquitlam	$2,513	$2,051	$2,750	−6.3%
6	Toronto	$2,482	$2,201	$2,857	−6.8%
7	Oakville	$2,456	$2,188	$2,524	−21.3%
8	Kanata	$2,405	$2,251	$2,564	−14.3%
9	Etobicoke	$2,375	$2,092	$2,548	−8.4%
10	Mississauga	$2,373	$2,077	$2,478	−7.6%
11	Burlington	$2,356	$2,052	$2,435	−5.0%
12	Langley	$2,344	$2,069	$2,467	−1.2%
13	Scarborough	$2,294	$1,926	$2,387	−6.8%
14	Kingston	$2,287	$1,927	$2,455	23.00%
15	Brampton	$2,282	$1,986	$2,302	−2.8%
16	Victoria	$2,271	$1,998	$2,607	−3.3%
17	Halifax	$2,269	$2,023	$2,550	1.80%
18	East York	$2,267	$1,913	$2,498	−8.8%
19	Vaughan	$2,254	$2,072	$2,516	−5.6%
20	Waterloo	$2,223	$2,055	$2,329	−9.2%
21	Ajax	$2,217	$1,812	$2,251	−0.5%
22	Guelph	$2,183	$1,973	$2,241	−8.6%
23	Barrie	$2,154	$1,926	$2,172	0.20%
24	Ottawa	$2,143	$1,960	$2,489	−2.3%
25	New Westminster	$2,131	$1,887	$2,650	−5.1%
26	Hamilton	$2,115	$1,767	$2,258	8.50%
27	Laval	$2,105	$1,711	$2,343	8.70%
28	Surrey	$2,090	$1,801	$2,236	−7.4%
29	Greater Sudbury	$2,080	$1,897	$2,145	−5.8%
30	Nanaimo	$2,057	$1,812	$2,324	7.20%
31	Cambridge	$2,039	$1,802	$2,104	−6.1%
32	Kitchener	$2,019	$1,790	$2,143	−4.6%
33	Oshawa	$2,018	$1,746	$2,058	−4.8%
34	Kamloops	$2,018	$1,773	$2,180	5.50%
35	Brantford	$1,996	$1,820	$2,103	2.80%
36	Kelowna	$1,994	$1,703	$2,142	−9.9%
37	Brossard	$1,973	$1,799	$2,049	−9.0%
38	Peterborough	$1,956	$1,711	$1,995	−0.6%
39	Montreal	$1,925	$1,722	$2,257	0.10%
40	Airdrie	$1,914	$1,442	$1,702	−4.3%
41	London	$1,912	$1,647	$2,048	−6.1%
42	Niagara Falls	$1,901	$1,615	$1,936	−9.2%
43	Calgary	$1,870	$1,531	$1,844	−3.9%
44	Gatineau	$1,869	$1,639	$2,049	−8.2%
45	St. Catharines	$1,832	$1,626	$1,937	−2.7%
46	Sarnia	$1,761	$1,538	$1,836	−4.0%
47	Welland	$1,704	$1,546	$1,872	1.70%
48	Winnipeg	$1,671	$1,427	$1,800	3.20%
49	Windsor	$1,657	$1,517	$1,825	−1.5%
50	Edmonton	$1,590	$1,302	$1,639	−0.7%
51	Côte Saint-Luc	$1,567	$1,415	$1,802	−21.9%
52	Red Deer	$1,556	$1,282	$1,511	2.10%
53	Saskatoon	$1,555	$1,329	$1,555	2.10%
54	Lethbridge	$1,502	$1,361	$1,582	0.00%
55	Regina	$1,454	$1,259	$1,521	3.30%
56	Quebec City	$1,444	$1,341	$1,597	−15.2%
57	Medicine Hat	$1,364	$1,240	$1,386	−0.6%
58	Fort McMurray	$1,353	$1,165	$1,411	−0.7%
59	Lloydminster	$1,255	$1,090	$1,354	8.40%
60	St. John's	$1,163	$1,084	$1,253	−5.1%

Average Rent by City
Source: Rentals.ca Network Data & Urbanation Inc.

Rental Price Changes by Province

Rental Price Growth by Housing Type

How Does Renting Compare with Homeownership Across Ontario?

Each $100,000 in mortgage balance costs an average of $520.07 per month on nesto’s lowest fixed 5-year rate at and $495.28 per month on nesto’s lowest adjustable 5-year rate at .

For each $100,000 in mortgage balance, a 0.25% change in Canada’s policy rate impacts the monthly payment by $13.23. Rates used for calculation are those offered on insured purchases with less than a 20% downpayment on a 25-year amortization. Canada’s policy rate is 2.25%, and nesto’s prime rate is 4.45%.

---

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) About the Ontario Housing Market Outlook for 2026

---

Why Choose nesto

At nesto, our commission-free mortgage experts, certified in multiple provinces, provide exceptional advice and service that exceeds industry standards. Our mortgage experts are salaried employees who provide impartial guidance on mortgage options tailored to your needs and are evaluated based on client satisfaction and the quality of their advice. nesto aims to transform the mortgage industry by providing honest advice and competitive rates through a 100% digital, transparent, and seamless process.

nesto is on a mission to offer a positive, empowering and transparent property financing experience – simplified from start to finish.

Contact our licensed and knowledgeable mortgage experts to find your best mortgage rate in Canada.

---